Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
20 Jun 202544.25
53.35
20.56%
Buy
0.58
-
-
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
17 Apr 20266.48
9.66
49.07%
Buy
0.46
-
-
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
14 Nov 20258.57
9.21
7.46%
Buy
0.02
-
-
CRTO NASDAQ · Criteo Sa
6 Mar 202619.74
22.88
15.91%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CRVL NASDAQ · CorVel Corp
24 Apr 202657.33
62.29
8.65%
Buy
0.03
-
-
CRWS NASDAQ · Crown Crafts Inc
20 Jun 20252.72
2.99
9.81%
Buy
0.12
-
-
CSIQ NASDAQ · Canadian Solar Inc
6 Jun 202511.24
15.02
33.63%
Buy
0.83
-
-
CSTE NASDAQ · Caesarstone Ltd
29 May 20261.86
2.37
27.42%
Buy
0.23
-
-
CTEV NYSE · Claritev Corporation
22 May 202621.67
31.24
44.16%
Buy
0.62
-
-
CTKB NASDAQ · Cytek Biosciences Inc
27 Jun 20253.55
4.62
30.14%
Buy
0.28
-
-
CTNM NASDAQ · Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. Class A Common Stock
15 Aug 20257.38
15.19
105.83%
Buy
1.36
-
-
CTRM NASDAQ · Castor Maritime Inc
3 Oct 20252.14
2.15
0.47%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CUB NASDAQ · Lionheart Holdings
23 May 202510.41
10.80
3.70%
Buy
3.47
-
-
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
17 Apr 202618.19
36.78
102.24%
Buy
0.68
-
-
CULP NASDAQ · Culp, Inc. Common Stock
8 May 20263.61
3.22
-10.80%
Buy
0.29
-
-
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20263.97
4.97
25.19%
Buy
1.11
-
-
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
13 Dec 20243.16
4.66
47.47%
Buy
0.38
-
-
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
13 Mar 20262.90
4.86
67.59%
Buy
0.95
-
-
CVLT NASDAQ · CommVault Systems Inc
24 Apr 202693.92
150.57
60.32%
Buy
0.14
-
-
CWAN NYSE · Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202519.25
24.56
27.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CXM NYSE · Sprinklr Inc
29 May 20265.58
5.48
-1.79%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CXT NYSE · Crane NXT Co
19 Jun 202646.93
50.83
8.31%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
6 Jun 20257.00
16.17
131.00%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CYTK NASDAQ · Cytokinetics Inc
15 Aug 202538.67
84.87
119.47%
Buy
0.65
-
-
CZR NASDAQ · Caesars Entertainment Corporation
20 Feb 202621.23
29.84
40.56%
Buy
0.04
-
-
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
20 Feb 202610.24
10.42
1.76%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DAIO NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation
6 Jun 20252.76
3.52
27.54%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
9 Jan 202639.08
60.83
55.66%
Buy
0.76
-
-
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
22 Aug 20253.46
5.52
59.33%
Buy
0.71
-
-
DBRG NYSE · Digitalbridge Group Inc
23 May 202511.15
15.77
41.50%
Buy
0.48
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 841-870 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Jun 2026
Exit
MVIS NASDAQ · Microvision Inc
0.39
20% entry drawdown
-37.33%
Entry 22 May 2026 0.62
5 Jun 2026
Exit
NCEW NASDAQ · New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
20.70
Reversal Risk Warning
158.43%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 8.01
5 Jun 2026
Entry
NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
9.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
5 Jun 2026
Exit
NTB NYSE · Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd
57.91
Reversal Risk Warning
124.27%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 25.82
5 Jun 2026
Exit
NUE NYSE · Nucor Corp
253.75
Reversal Risk Warning
107.23%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 122.45
5 Jun 2026
Exit
NXTC NASDAQ · NextCure  Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown
-45.33%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 5.40
5 Jun 2026
Exit
ODFL NASDAQ · Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
242.57
Reversal Risk Warning
61.51%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 150.19
5 Jun 2026
Exit
OFG NYSE · OFG Bancorp
45.94
Reversal Risk Warning
85.18%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 24.81
5 Jun 2026
Exit
PBFS NASDAQ · Pioneer Bancorp Inc
16.20
Reversal Risk Warning
66.67%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 9.72
5 Jun 2026
Exit
PFG NASDAQ · Principal Financial Group Inc
105.22
Reversal Risk Warning
52.83%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 68.85
5 Jun 2026
Exit
R NYSE · Ryder System Inc
265.22
Reversal Risk Warning
180.06%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 94.70
5 Jun 2026
Exit
RDAC NASDAQ · Rising Dragon Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
7.00
20% entry drawdown
-24.65%
Entry 1 May 2026 9.29
5 Jun 2026
Exit
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
8.47
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 22 May 2026 10.68
5 Jun 2026
Exit
RNTX NASDAQ · Rein Therapeutics Inc
0.94
20% entry drawdown
-22.70%
Entry 8 May 2026 1.22
5 Jun 2026
Exit
RS NYSE · Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co
394.41
Reversal Risk Warning
45.02%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 271.96
5 Jun 2026
Entry
SERA NASDAQ · Sera Prognostics Inc
2.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
5 Jun 2026
Exit
SHO NYSE · Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc
11.39
Reversal Risk Warning
32.88%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 8.57
5 Jun 2026
Exit
SIMAU NASDAQ · SIM Acquisition Corp. I Unit
16.69
Reversal Risk Warning
28.29%
Entry 22 May 2026 13.01
5 Jun 2026
Exit
SKYQ NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-31.48%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 2.66
5 Jun 2026
Exit
SLNH NASDAQ · Soluna Holdings Inc
1.34
20% entry drawdown
-26.78%
Entry 8 May 2026 1.83
5 Jun 2026
Exit
SNDR NYSE · Schneider National Inc
37.11
Reversal Risk Warning
58.10%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 23.47
5 Jun 2026
Entry
SONM NASDAQ · Sonim Technologies Inc
4.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
5 Jun 2026
Exit
SQFT NASDAQ · Presidio Property Trust
2.26
20% entry drawdown
-31.31%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 3.29
5 Jun 2026
Exit
SSTK NYSE · Shutterstock
12.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.06%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 16.21
5 Jun 2026
Entry
STG NYSE · Sunlands Technology Group
3.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
5 Jun 2026
Exit
STLD NASDAQ · Steel Dynamics Inc
267.88
Reversal Risk Warning
117.70%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 123.05
5 Jun 2026
Exit
STT NYSE · State Street Corp
160.95
Reversal Risk Warning
124.50%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 71.69
5 Jun 2026
Exit
SUIG NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
1.17
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 1.56
5 Jun 2026
Entry
SVV NYSE · Savers Value Village, Inc.
8.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
5 Jun 2026
Exit
TAOX NASDAQ · TAO Synergies Inc.
3.81
20% entry drawdown
-27.01%
Entry 27 Mar 2026 5.22