🇺🇸 United States ETF Radar · NASDAQ

SMST

DEFIANCE DAILY TARGET 2X SHORT MSTR ETF

Inverse · Unclassified · Unclassified

Risk watch
Country Radar Open Chart
Recent price path SMST recent weekly close path 46 USD 12 Jun 2026
Weekly Return -8.8% latest completed week
4-Week Return 79.0% short momentum
Trend Gap -23.3% Trend negative
Fair Gap -76.0% vs fair value
Volume 1.0x 1.9M latest
Market Dynamics -0.26 negative and improving
Relative Strength -17.31 vs country ETF tape
Opportunity -13.9 composite radar score
Risk 54.6 -46.4% drawdown · 18.0% volatility
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, Fair Value

12 months
SMST weekly price action
Price Trend Line Fair Value
Market Dynamics

Pressure, strength, volume

12 months
SMST Market Dynamics and relative strength
Market Dynamics Relative Strength Volume
Signal View

What it shows

Market Dynamics improving High risk score Tactical exposure

Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape.

Weak trend, selling pressure, or tactical exposure is elevated.

SMST sits in Inverse, so read it as a United States exposure first and a single ETF second.

The latest week moved -8.8%; the four-week move is 79.0%, which helps separate one-week noise from actual follow-through.

Trend is negative, volume is running at 1.0x, and Market Dynamics is not showing a buy signal.

Opportunity Signals

What could be improving

  • No high-conviction opportunity signal yet.
Risk Signals

What needs caution

  • Leveraged or inverse ETF exposure needs tighter risk control
  • Momentum is fading after a stronger short-term run
  • High weekly volatility raises position risk
  • Market Dynamics is still negative
Peers

Same category

Closest category peers ranked by the current radar score.

10 peers
1 CLSE · CBOE CONVERGENCE LONG/SHORT EQUITY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 1.9% 4W 3.7% Vol 1.6x 1.9% 2 WBIL · NYSE WBI BULLBEAR QUALITY 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.5% 4W 9.8% Vol 1.6x 2.5% 3 WBIL · NYSEARCA ABSOLUTE SHS TR WBI BULLBEAR QUALITY 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.5% 4W 9.8% Vol 1.6x 2.5% 4 NURE · CBOE NUVEEN SHORT-TERM REIT ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 1.7% 4W 10.1% Vol 1.4x 1.7% 5 BTCZ · CBOE T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week -11.2% 4W 49.0% Vol 1.7x -11.2% 6 WBIF · NYSE WBI BULLBEAR VALUE 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.9% 4W 8.8% Vol 1.7x 2.9% 7 WBIF · NYSEARCA ABSOLUTE SHS TR WBI BULLBEAR VALUE 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.9% 4W 8.8% Vol 1.7x 2.9% 8 ETHD · NYSE ProShares UltraShort Ether ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week -12.3% 4W 64.3% Vol 0.8x -12.3% 9 ETHD · NYSEARCA PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week -12.3% 4W 64.3% Vol 0.8x -12.3% 10 WBIG · NYSE WBI BULLBEAR YIELD 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.4% 4W 7.0% Vol 2.5x 2.4%
Latest Event

Historical signal events

Recent Trend Line crossings and Market Dynamics buy signals from the weekly history.

20 Jun 2025 Market Dynamics buy signal 29 USD · %
29 Aug 2025 Market Dynamics buy signal 29 USD · 13.4%
26 Sep 2025 Market Dynamics buy signal 32 USD · 21.6%
10 Oct 2025 Market Dynamics buy signal 31 USD · 28.7%
17 Oct 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 34 USD · 8.3%
13 Mar 2026 Broke below Trend Line 56 USD · -9.3%
27 Mar 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 65 USD · 13.5%
10 Apr 2026 Broke below Trend Line 60 USD · -15.7%
SMST

Recent weekly tape

Week Close Trend Line Fair Value Weekly Return Market Dynamics RS Volume
20 Jun 2025 29 USD 78 USD 366 USD % 0.03 - 3.9M
27 Jun 2025 27 USD 74 USD 358 USD -7.7% 0.01 - 5.7M
3 Jul 2025 23 USD 71 USD 351 USD -13.9% 0.06 - 6.0M
11 Jul 2025 20 USD 69 USD 343 USD -14.7% 0.15 - 5.9M
18 Jul 2025 20 USD 66 USD 336 USD 3.0% 0.26 - 11.7M
25 Jul 2025 22 USD 62 USD 330 USD 8.1% 0.42 - 6.2M
1 Aug 2025 26 USD 59 USD 324 USD 19.2% 0.70 - 6.3M
8 Aug 2025 22 USD 56 USD 318 USD -16.3% 0.94 - 7.2M
15 Aug 2025 25 USD 54 USD 312 USD 15.3% 1.15 - 6.8M
22 Aug 2025 26 USD 52 USD 306 USD 1.3% 1.29 -93.00 8.6M
29 Aug 2025 29 USD 50 USD 301 USD 13.4% 1.32 -90.93 6.2M
5 Sep 2025 28 USD 47 USD 296 USD -1.8% 1.35 -89.24 4.8M
12 Sep 2025 29 USD 45 USD 291 USD 2.4% 1.35 -87.35 4.7M
19 Sep 2025 26 USD 42 USD 287 USD -9.0% 1.32 -86.63 5.7M
26 Sep 2025 32 USD 38 USD 282 USD 21.6% 1.33 -81.17 6.5M
3 Oct 2025 24 USD 35 USD 278 USD -24.7% 1.24 -83.51 6.2M
10 Oct 2025 31 USD 33 USD 273 USD 28.7% 1.27 -75.23 6.1M
17 Oct 2025 34 USD 32 USD 269 USD 8.3% 1.39 -69.84 5.5M
24 Oct 2025 33 USD 30 USD 266 USD -1.5% 1.42 -66.59 3.3M
31 Oct 2025 37 USD 29 USD 262 USD 10.6% 1.59 -56.82 3.2M
7 Nov 2025 44 USD 29 USD 258 USD 19.9% 1.64 -39.57 3.4M
14 Nov 2025 63 USD 29 USD 255 USD 43.0% 1.63 -8.62 2.9M
21 Nov 2025 82 USD 31 USD 253 USD 30.0% 1.68 24.32 4.6M
28 Nov 2025 75 USD 32 USD 250 USD -9.0% 1.68 10.12 2.2M
5 Dec 2025 71 USD 34 USD 247 USD -4.6% 1.71 5.86 3.2M
12 Dec 2025 72 USD 36 USD 245 USD 1.3% 1.71 10.73 2.2M
19 Dec 2025 80 USD 37 USD 242 USD 11.1% 1.69 24.42 2.4M
26 Dec 2025 85 USD 39 USD 240 USD 6.4% 1.71 33.57 1.1M
2 Jan 2026 86 USD 41 USD 238 USD 1.2% 1.68 39.61 1.2M
9 Jan 2026 84 USD 43 USD 236 USD -3.0% 1.70 34.87 2.2M
16 Jan 2026 67 USD 44 USD 234 USD -20.5% 1.48 8.89 2.4M
23 Jan 2026 74 USD 46 USD 231 USD 11.0% 1.16 21.87 1.3M
30 Jan 2026 84 USD 48 USD 229 USD 14.2% 0.92 41.04 2.0M
6 Feb 2026 71 USD 49 USD 227 USD -15.4% 0.55 23.78 3.8M
13 Feb 2026 69 USD 51 USD 225 USD -3.5% 0.33 22.62 2.9M
20 Feb 2026 71 USD 53 USD 223 USD 2.9% 0.10 27.74 1.3M
27 Feb 2026 69 USD 54 USD 221 USD -2.5% -0.18 29.89 1.9M
6 Mar 2026 61 USD 55 USD 219 USD -11.3% -0.40 19.74 2.1M
13 Mar 2026 56 USD 56 USD 217 USD -9.3% -0.58 11.85 1.6M
20 Mar 2026 57 USD 58 USD 215 USD 2.8% -0.62 19.12 1.9M
27 Mar 2026 65 USD 59 USD 214 USD 13.5% -0.68 41.67 1.0M
2 Apr 2026 71 USD 60 USD 212 USD 9.9% -0.70 51.82 899.2K
10 Apr 2026 60 USD 61 USD 210 USD -15.7% -0.72 22.88 1.2M
17 Apr 2026 34 USD 61 USD 208 USD -44.2% -0.74 -34.66 2.0M
24 Apr 2026 30 USD 61 USD 206 USD -9.3% -0.74 -41.72 2.4M
1 May 2026 27 USD 61 USD 204 USD -9.7% -0.75 -47.97 2.3M
8 May 2026 24 USD 61 USD 202 USD -12.5% -0.70 -56.66 3.4M
15 May 2026 26 USD 61 USD 200 USD 7.7% -0.69 -53.02 3.2M
22 May 2026 31 USD 61 USD 198 USD 20.6% -0.71 -43.80 1.8M
29 May 2026 31 USD 61 USD 196 USD -0.5% -0.75 -45.43 1.4M
5 Jun 2026 51 USD 61 USD 195 USD 63.6% -0.48 -6.95 2.5M
12 Jun 2026 46 USD 60 USD 193 USD -8.8% -0.26 -17.31 1.9M