🇺🇸 United States ETF Radar · NASDAQ

SMST

DEFIANCE DAILY TARGET 2X SHORT MSTR ETF

Inverse · Unclassified · Unclassified

Risk watch
Country Radar Open Chart
Recent price path SMST recent weekly close path 64 USD 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Return 3.8% latest completed week
4-Week Return -32.1% short momentum
Trend Gap 11.1% Trend negative
Fair Gap -67.7% vs fair value
Volume 0.7x 1.2M latest
Market Dynamics 0.44 positive
Relative Strength 12.94 vs country ETF tape
Opportunity 0.5 composite radar score
Risk 50.0 -32.1% drawdown · 22.1% volatility
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, Fair Value

12 months
SMST weekly price action
Price Trend Line Fair Value
Market Dynamics

Pressure, strength, volume

12 months
SMST Market Dynamics and relative strength
Market Dynamics Relative Strength Volume
Signal View

What it shows

Above Trend Line Positive relative strength High risk score Tactical exposure

Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape.

Weak trend, selling pressure, or tactical exposure is elevated.

SMST sits in Inverse, so read it as a United States exposure first and a single ETF second.

The latest week moved 3.8%; the four-week move is -32.1%, which helps separate one-week noise from actual follow-through.

Trend is negative, volume is running at 0.7x, and Market Dynamics is not showing a buy signal.

Opportunity Signals

What could be improving

  • Recovering from a weaker base with improving pressure
  • Relative strength is positive versus its ETF peer tape
Risk Signals

What needs caution

  • Leveraged or inverse ETF exposure needs tighter risk control
  • High weekly volatility raises position risk
Peers

Same category

Closest category peers ranked by the current radar score.

10 peers
1 TSLS · NASDAQ Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 19.0% 4W 16.3% Vol 1.0x 19.0% 2 TMV · NYSEARCA DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 4.7% 4W 15.2% Vol 0.7x 4.7% 3 TSLQ · NASDAQ Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week 39.1% 4W 29.0% Vol 0.9x 39.1% 4 TSDD · NASDAQ GRANITESHARES 2X SHORT TSLA DAILY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week 38.5% 4W 28.7% Vol 0.9x 38.5% 5 SVIX · CBOE 1x Short VIX Futures ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 3.8% 4W 1.9% Vol 1.1x 3.8% 6 ORCS · NASDAQ Direxion Daily ORCL Bear 1X ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Leveraged or inverse exposure; useful for tactical pressure, but risk can move quickly. Week 9.3% 4W 26.8% Vol 0.4x 9.3% 7 NFXS · NASDAQ DIREXION DAILY NFLX BEAR 1X SHARES 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Leveraged or inverse exposure; useful for tactical pressure, but risk can move quickly. Week -1.6% 4W 4.6% Vol 1.1x -1.6% 8 TYO · NYSEARCA DIREXION DAILY 7-10 YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 3.1% 4W 6.6% Vol 0.6x 3.1% 9 WBIF · NYSEARCA ABSOLUTE SHS TR WBI BULLBEAR VALUE 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Volume is expanding versus normal activity, which can mark institutional attention or stress. Week -0.5% 4W 0.7% Vol 8.8x -0.5% 10 CLSE · CBOE CONVERGENCE LONG/SHORT EQUITY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 0.1% 4W 2.2% Vol 1.7x 0.1%
Latest Event

Historical signal events

Recent Trend Line crossings and Market Dynamics buy signals from the weekly history.

26 Sep 2025 Market Dynamics buy signal 32 USD · 21.6%
10 Oct 2025 Market Dynamics buy signal 31 USD · 28.7%
17 Oct 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 34 USD · 8.3%
13 Mar 2026 Broke below Trend Line 56 USD · -9.3%
27 Mar 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 65 USD · 13.5%
10 Apr 2026 Broke below Trend Line 60 USD · -15.7%
26 Jun 2026 Market Dynamics buy signal 95 USD · 75.9%
3 Jul 2026 Broke below Trend Line 57 USD · -40.4%
10 Jul 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 64 USD · 12.4%
SMST

Recent weekly tape

Week Close Trend Line Fair Value Weekly Return Market Dynamics RS Volume
1 Aug 2025 26 USD 59 USD 350 USD % 0.80 - 6.3M
8 Aug 2025 22 USD 56 USD 343 USD -16.3% 1.06 - 7.2M
15 Aug 2025 25 USD 54 USD 337 USD 15.3% 1.28 -93.78 6.8M
22 Aug 2025 26 USD 52 USD 331 USD 1.3% 1.42 -93.00 8.6M
29 Aug 2025 29 USD 50 USD 326 USD 13.4% 1.45 -90.93 6.2M
5 Sep 2025 28 USD 47 USD 320 USD -1.8% 1.47 -89.24 4.8M
12 Sep 2025 29 USD 45 USD 315 USD 2.4% 1.46 -87.35 4.7M
19 Sep 2025 26 USD 42 USD 310 USD -9.0% 1.42 -86.63 5.7M
26 Sep 2025 32 USD 38 USD 305 USD 21.6% 1.42 -81.17 6.5M
3 Oct 2025 24 USD 35 USD 300 USD -24.7% 1.32 -83.51 6.2M
10 Oct 2025 31 USD 33 USD 296 USD 28.7% 1.33 -75.23 6.1M
17 Oct 2025 34 USD 32 USD 292 USD 8.3% 1.45 -69.84 5.5M
24 Oct 2025 33 USD 30 USD 287 USD -1.5% 1.47 -66.59 3.3M
31 Oct 2025 37 USD 29 USD 283 USD 10.6% 1.64 -56.82 3.2M
7 Nov 2025 44 USD 29 USD 280 USD 19.9% 1.68 -39.57 3.4M
14 Nov 2025 63 USD 29 USD 276 USD 43.0% 1.68 -8.62 2.9M
21 Nov 2025 82 USD 31 USD 273 USD 30.0% 1.73 24.32 4.6M
28 Nov 2025 75 USD 32 USD 270 USD -9.0% 1.74 10.12 2.2M
5 Dec 2025 71 USD 34 USD 268 USD -4.6% 1.76 5.86 3.2M
12 Dec 2025 72 USD 36 USD 265 USD 1.3% 1.77 10.73 2.2M
19 Dec 2025 80 USD 37 USD 262 USD 11.1% 1.75 24.42 2.4M
26 Dec 2025 85 USD 39 USD 260 USD 6.4% 1.76 33.57 1.1M
2 Jan 2026 86 USD 41 USD 257 USD 1.2% 1.73 39.61 1.2M
9 Jan 2026 84 USD 43 USD 255 USD -3.0% 1.75 34.87 2.2M
16 Jan 2026 67 USD 44 USD 252 USD -20.5% 1.54 8.89 2.4M
23 Jan 2026 74 USD 46 USD 250 USD 11.0% 1.20 21.87 1.3M
30 Jan 2026 84 USD 48 USD 248 USD 14.2% 0.96 41.04 2.0M
6 Feb 2026 71 USD 49 USD 245 USD -15.4% 0.58 23.78 3.8M
13 Feb 2026 69 USD 51 USD 243 USD -3.5% 0.34 22.62 2.9M
20 Feb 2026 71 USD 53 USD 241 USD 2.9% 0.10 27.74 1.3M
27 Feb 2026 69 USD 54 USD 239 USD -2.5% -0.19 29.89 1.9M
6 Mar 2026 61 USD 55 USD 237 USD -11.3% -0.41 19.74 2.1M
13 Mar 2026 56 USD 56 USD 234 USD -9.3% -0.59 11.85 1.6M
20 Mar 2026 57 USD 58 USD 232 USD 2.8% -0.62 19.12 1.9M
27 Mar 2026 65 USD 59 USD 230 USD 13.5% -0.69 41.67 1.0M
3 Apr 2026 71 USD 60 USD 228 USD 9.9% -0.71 51.82 899.2K
10 Apr 2026 60 USD 61 USD 226 USD -15.7% -0.73 22.88 1.2M
17 Apr 2026 34 USD 61 USD 224 USD -44.2% -0.75 -34.66 2.0M
24 Apr 2026 30 USD 61 USD 222 USD -9.3% -0.74 -41.66 2.4M
1 May 2026 27 USD 61 USD 220 USD -9.7% -0.74 -47.91 2.3M
8 May 2026 24 USD 61 USD 218 USD -12.5% -0.70 -56.61 3.4M
15 May 2026 26 USD 61 USD 216 USD 7.7% -0.68 -52.97 3.2M
22 May 2026 31 USD 61 USD 214 USD 20.6% -0.70 -43.74 1.8M
29 May 2026 31 USD 61 USD 212 USD -0.5% -0.75 -45.38 1.4M
5 Jun 2026 51 USD 61 USD 210 USD 63.6% -0.48 -6.85 2.5M
12 Jun 2026 46 USD 60 USD 208 USD -8.8% -0.27 -17.22 1.9M
19 Jun 2026 54 USD 59 USD 207 USD 16.5% -0.01 -6.47 1.4M
26 Jun 2026 95 USD 60 USD 205 USD 75.9% 0.51 68.70 2.0M
3 Jul 2026 57 USD 60 USD 204 USD -40.4% 0.52 -1.28 1.6M
10 Jul 2026 64 USD 59 USD 202 USD 12.4% 0.60 7.63 1.5M
17 Jul 2026 62 USD 59 USD 201 USD -2.3% 0.60 8.41 746.2K
24 Jul 2026 64 USD 58 USD 200 USD 3.8% 0.44 12.94 1.2M