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Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.

Read Relevant event markets with active probability movement. Israel · 2 radar items · updated 8 Jun, 21:13
Probability Fade

Will Israel win on 2026-06-09?

Polymarket · Geopolitics

2.4% probability

Geopolitics expectation is falling at 2.4%. 24h move -7.6 pts. 7d move -7.6 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

24h -7.6 pts
7d -7.6 pts
Volume 999
Quality 41/100
Insight Market
Watch

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Polymarket · Geopolitics

34.5% probability

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 34.5%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 55/100.

24h +1.5 pts
7d +1.5 pts
Volume 98K
Quality 55/100
Insight Market