Polymarket · Energy

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?

Energy expectations are rising at 99.6% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 99.6%. 24h move +12.6 pts. 7d move +12.0 pts. Data quality 61/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 99.6%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 52
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 881.9K Liquidity 66.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality61.4
Momentum66.7
Urgency5.0
7d Move12.1 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 99.6%. 24h move +12.6 pts. 7d move +12.0 pts. Data quality 61/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? 1.9% · Probability Fade · score 73 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? 35.6% · Probability Surge · score 69 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 62 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? 61.5% · Probability Surge · score 57 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? 0.9% · Probability Fade · score 49 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of July 20 2026? 4.0% · Probability Fade · score 49