Polymarket · Energy

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Energy expectations are falling at 1.9% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 1.9%. 24h move -12.6 pts. 7d move -18.6 pts. Data quality 61/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 1.9%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 75
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 911.2K Liquidity 46.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality60.7
Momentum81.0
Urgency95.0
7d Move-18.6 pts

Energy expectation is falling at 1.9%. 24h move -12.6 pts. 7d move -18.6 pts. Data quality 61/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? 36.9% · Probability Surge · score 67 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 62 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? 64.5% · Probability Fade · score 61 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? 63.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? 99.6% · Probability Surge · score 52 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? 0.9% · Probability Fade · score 49