Polymarket · Energy

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?

Energy expectations are falling at 64.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 64.5%. 24h move -9.0 pts. 7d move -12.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 64.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 58
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.9K Liquidity 23.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality48.5
Momentum58.5
Urgency76.3
7d Move-12.5 pts

Energy expectation is falling at 64.5%. 24h move -9.0 pts. 7d move -12.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? 1.9% · Probability Fade · score 73 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? 35.6% · Probability Surge · score 69 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 62 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? 61.5% · Probability Surge · score 57 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? 99.6% · Probability Surge · score 52 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? 0.9% · Probability Fade · score 49