Polymarket · Energy

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?

Energy expectations are rising at 61.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 61.5%. 24h move +8.0 pts. 7d move -17.0 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 61.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 57
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 96.3K Liquidity 77.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality56.5
Momentum74.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move-17.0 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 61.5%. 24h move +8.0 pts. 7d move -17.0 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? 1.9% · Probability Fade · score 73 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? 35.6% · Probability Surge · score 69 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 62 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? 99.6% · Probability Surge · score 52 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? 0.9% · Probability Fade · score 49 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of July 20 2026? 4.0% · Probability Fade · score 49