Ticker Options Intelligence

JOBY options intelligence

Joby Aviation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 49 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 03:11 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

JOBY currently carries volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 11.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 11.4%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.21

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.2%

RS -46.3

Expected move 11.4%
Put-call volume 0.21
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 1.06
Max pain 7.50
Underlying 7.15
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 558

Research Brief

JOBY has a volatility chain read with 49/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 6.33–7.97; The largest call open-interest concentration is 8.00; the largest put concentration is 7.00. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50.

Priced range6.33–7.97
Call concentration8.00
Put concentration7.00
Max pain reference7.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 6.33 to 7.97. Max pain at 7.50 sits inside that range, 4.9% above spot.

Spot Max pain
6.337.15 ± 0.827.97
Confirmation level

A close beyond 7.97 or below 6.33 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 49/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 73/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure73 × 42%
+30.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score49.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 8.00; the largest put concentration is 7.00. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
50
1.00-86.0%
22
0
2.00-72.0%
12
72
5.50-23.1%
1
285
6.00-16.1%
115
877
6.50-9.1%
142
1586
7.00-2.1%
637
339
7.504.9%
727
524
8.0011.9%
2778
347
8.5018.9%
1653
620
9.0025.9%
1709
61
9.5032.9%
490
35
10.0039.9%
644
12
10.5046.9%
371
60
11.0053.8%
219
2
11.5060.8%
244
11
12.0067.8%
278
0
13.0081.8%
200
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.21× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.06 7 Aug 7d
0.96 14 Aug 14d
0.90 21 Aug 21d
0.89 28 Aug 28d
0.87 4 Sep 35d
0.85 11 Sep 42d
0.84 18 Sep 49d
0.83 16 Oct 77d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

6
7
7
8
8
9
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
558 / 558
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

91/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $720729 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 0-7 days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+73
1W price+3.2%
Call premium80%
Put premium20%
Notional split C 80% / P 20% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 0-7 days · OTM
Calls · 0-7 days · OTM calls cluster with 5637 contracts traded, $131880 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$131880
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 2818 contracts traded, $128011 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$128011
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1690 contracts traded, $123056 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$123056
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 413 contracts traded, $53273 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$53273
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 912 contracts traded, $36426 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$36426

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close7.15
1W+3.2%
RS-46.3
Fair value-16.2%
Options pressure73
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 11.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.06 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.21 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:25 Bullish
Pressure 63
Move 7.6%
30 Jul 10:21 Bullish
Pressure 57
Move 7.6%
31 Jul 10:11 Bullish
Pressure 38
Move 5.5%
2 Aug 02:11 Volatility
Pressure 73
Move 11.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike1.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 22
Puts · V 44 · OI 50
Strike2.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 12
Puts · V 131 · OI 0
Strike3.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike4.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 5 · OI 0
Strike4.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 11
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 26
Puts · V 10 · OI 54
Strike5.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 106 · OI 72
Strike6.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 115
Puts · V 184 · OI 285

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV1.06
Put-call0.21
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.96
Put-call0.13
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts78
Avg IV0.90
Put-call0.54
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts48
Avg IV0.89
Put-call0.33
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts48
Avg IV0.87
Put-call0.05

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.05
Put IV1.08
Skew0.03
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.98
Put IV0.94
Skew-0.04
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.91
Put IV0.93
Skew0.02
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.89
Put IV0.92
Skew0.03
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.87
Put IV0.87
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractJOBY260807C00007500
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume4799
OI727
IV1.01
ContractJOBY260918C00008000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike8.00
Volume1865
OI495
IV0.81
ContractJOBY261120C00010000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike10.00
Volume522
OI1267
IV0.84
ContractJOBY261016C00010000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume379
OI1756
IV0.81
ContractJOBY260807C00008000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike8.00
Volume350
OI2778
IV1.05
ContractJOBY261016C00011000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike11.00
Volume328
OI2183
IV0.84
ContractJOBY260918P00007000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.00
Volume282
OI286
IV0.83
ContractJOBY260807C00009000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike9.00
Volume270
OI1709
IV1.14