Ticker Options Intelligence

AVT options intelligence

Avnet Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 60 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 12:08 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

AVT currently carries volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 11.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 11.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 5

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +4.4%

RS 32.5

Expected move 11.3%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.57
Max pain 70.00
Underlying 89.42
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 208

Research Brief

AVT has a volatility chain read with 60/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 79.30–99.54; The largest call open-interest concentration is 70.00; the largest put concentration is 80.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00.

Priced range79.30–99.54
Call concentration70.00
Put concentration80.00
Max pain reference70.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 79.30 to 99.54. Max pain at 70.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
79.3089.42 ± 10.1299.54
Confirmation level

A close beyond 99.54 or below 79.30 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 60/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement5 × 26%
+1.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility80 × 10%
+8.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score60.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 70.00; the largest put concentration is 80.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
2
50.00-44.1%
4
1
55.00-38.5%
18
250
60.00-32.9%
28
12
65.00-27.3%
65
262
70.00-21.7%
622
95
75.00-16.1%
62
477
80.00-10.5%
137
15
85.00-4.9%
72
69
90.000.6%
133
12
95.006.2%
26
2
100.0011.8%
154
0
105.0017.4%
38
0
110.0023.0%
75
0
115.0028.6%
38
0
120.0034.2%
66
0
125.0039.8%
21
0
130.0045.4%
14
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.32× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.57 21 Aug 22d
0.50 18 Sep 50d
0.48 20 Nov 113d
0.47 19 Feb 204d
0.43 17 Dec 505d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

75
80
85
90
95
100
105
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
208 / 208
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

82/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $27820 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+4.4%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 5/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 5 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · OTM
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 145 contracts traded, $20715 estimated gross traded notional, and 74% of visible notional.
$20715
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $5480 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$5480
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 8 contracts traded, $1625 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$1625

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close89.42
1W+4.4%
RS32.5
Fair value+68.9%
Options pressure100
Speculation41
Volatility80
Trend fit5

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 11.3% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.57 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:33 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 11.8%
30 Jul 10:31 Volatility
Pressure 73
Move 12.2%
31 Jul 03:43 Volatility
Pressure 63
Move 14.1%
31 Jul 11:08 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 11.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike41.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike42.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike43.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike44.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.57
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.50
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.48
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts36
Avg IV0.47
Put-call-
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Contracts36
Avg IV0.43
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.59
Put IV0.55
Skew-0.04
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV0.51
Skew0.01
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.48
Put IV0.46
Skew-0.02
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.42
Put IV0.47
Skew0.05
17 Dec 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.44
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAVT260918C00105000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike105.00
Volume128
OI3
IV0.51
ContractAVT260918C00130000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike130.00
Volume16
OI-
IV0.38
ContractAVT260821C00095000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike95.00
Volume6
OI26
IV0.59
ContractAVT260821C00085000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume3
OI72
IV0.56
ContractAVT260821C00105000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike105.00
Volume2
OI38
IV0.79
ContractAVT260821C00050000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike50.00
Volume1
OI4
IV1.39
ContractAVT260918C00100000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike100.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.50
ContractAVT260821C00070000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI622
IV0.70