Ticker Options Intelligence

MTRX options intelligence

Matrix Service Co options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 50 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:51 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

MTRX currently carries volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 13.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 13.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -6.0%

RS -16.2

Expected move 13.6%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.56
Max pain 10.00
Underlying 12.34
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 80

Research Brief

MTRX has a volatility chain read with 50/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 10.66–14.02; The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 10.00. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50.

Priced range10.66–14.02
Call concentration10.00
Put concentration10.00
Max pain reference10.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 10.66 to 14.02. Max pain at 10.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
10.6612.34 ± 1.6814.02
Confirmation level

A close beyond 14.02 or below 10.66 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 50/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility79 × 10%
+7.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score50.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 10.00. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-79.7%
1
0
5.00-59.5%
0
0
7.50-39.2%
5
11
10.00-19.0%
235
1
12.501.3%
23
0
15.0021.6%
26
0
17.5041.8%
0
0
20.0062.1%
79
0
22.5082.3%
1
0
25.00102.6%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.13× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.56 21 Aug 22d
0.52 18 Sep 50d
0.50 20 Nov 113d
0.49 19 Feb 204d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

10
13
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
80 / 80
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

92/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $21 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · atm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price-6.0%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ATM
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $21 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$21

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close11.60
1W-6.0%
RS-16.2
Fair value-2.3%
Options pressure100
Speculation0
Volatility79
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 13.6% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.56 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:35 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 14.9%
30 Jul 11:15 Volatility
Pressure 86
Move 18.1%
31 Jul 10:51 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 13.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 235
Puts · V 0 · OI 11
Strike12.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 23
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 26
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 79
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.56
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.52
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.50
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts20
Avg IV0.49
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.29
Skew0.08
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.14
Put IV0.20
Skew0.06
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.51
Put IV0.13
Skew-0.38
19 Feb 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.16
Put IV0.10
Skew-0.06

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMTRX260821C00012500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike12.50
Volume1
OI23
IV0.21
ContractMTRX261120C00012500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI347
IV0.51
ContractMTRX261120C00015000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI309
IV0.23
ContractMTRX260821C00010000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI235
IV0.41
ContractMTRX260821C00020000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI79
IV0.96
ContractMTRX261120P00015000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI56
IV0.01
ContractMTRX261120P00012500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI35
IV1.09
ContractMTRX260821C00015000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI26
IV0.52