MTRX NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Matrix Service Co · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 11.60 USD
-6.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.0%, after a -7.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 38d.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 11.60 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -6.0% latest completed week
4W Return -7.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.04% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -6.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.4%. Indicator stack 20/30 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.04% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 50/100 conviction; expected move 13.6%. News sentiment 50/100 50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 38d Next report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.0%, after a -7.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6512-week average 0.43

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.4% over four weeks, -4.8% over 12 weeks, and -18.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.0%
4W-7.4%
12W-4.8%
26W-19.0%
52W-18.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-145.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-5.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value80/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
47.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
6.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-51.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
46.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MTRX shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 13.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move13.6%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation0
Volatility79
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 7

0 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

9 positive · 31 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings38dNext report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-22.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-6.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis57/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.65; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.04%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.04% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 58; Small Cap Core rank 34 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

MTRX shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 13.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 13.6% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

Matrix Service Co (MTRX) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages Insiders0 / 7

0 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings38d

Next report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202611.60 USD-6.0%12.34 USD11.87 USD-0.48-16.18994.9KOff
24 Jul 202612.34 USD1.6%12.36 USD11.84 USD-0.21-11.11854.1KOn
17 Jul 202612.15 USD-2.7%12.34 USD11.80 USD0.35-14.62858.6KOn
10 Jul 202612.49 USD-0.3%12.32 USD11.76 USD0.79-16.551.1MOn
3 Jul 202612.53 USD-9.7%12.31 USD11.72 USD1.04-15.32922.0KOn
26 Jun 202613.87 USD-0.8%12.29 USD11.68 USD1.33-6.101.9MOn
19 Jun 202613.98 USD2.0%12.21 USD11.63 USD1.18-10.101.1MOn
12 Jun 202613.71 USD1.1%12.12 USD11.57 USD1.13-9.92897.8KOn
5 Jun 202613.56 USD3.3%12.06 USD11.52 USD1.08-9.191.5MOn
29 May 202613.13 USD3.1%12.02 USD11.47 USD0.86-16.361.1MOn
22 May 202612.73 USD7.4%12.09 USD11.42 USD0.79-17.001.2MOff
15 May 202611.85 USD-2.7%12.13 USD11.38 USD0.56-22.231.3MOff
8 May 202612.18 USD-9.9%12.17 USD11.34 USD0.33-20.882.0MOff
1 May 202613.52 USD6.1%12.17 USD11.30 USD0.21-8.041.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.