Ticker Options Intelligence

UVSP options intelligence

Univest Corporation Pennsylvania options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 47 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:41 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

UVSP currently carries bearish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.15.

Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 7.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.15

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 10

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.3%

RS 17.5

Expected move 7.3%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.15
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 22.50
Underlying 44.10
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 76

Research Brief

UVSP has a bearish chain read with 47/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 40.90–47.30; The largest call open-interest concentration is 22.50; the largest put concentration is 22.50. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00.

Priced range40.90–47.30
Call concentration22.50
Put concentration22.50
Max pain reference22.50
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 40.90 to 47.30. Max pain at 22.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
40.9044.10 ± 3.2047.30
Confirmation level

A close beyond 47.30 or below 40.90 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 47/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 91/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure91 × 42%
+38.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation3 × 22%
+0.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement10 × 26%
+2.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility50 × 10%
+5.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score46.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 22.50; the largest put concentration is 22.50. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
22.50-49.0%
0
0
25.00-43.3%
0
0
30.00-32.0%
0
0
35.00-20.6%
0
0
40.00-9.3%
0
0
45.002.0%
0
0
50.0013.4%
0
0
55.0024.7%
0
0
60.0036.1%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.10× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.30 21 Aug 22d
0.19 18 Sep 50d
0.21 18 Dec 141d
0.27 19 Mar 232d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

40
45
50
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
76 / 76
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

94/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow before price confirmation

Put-side pressure is present before a decisive weekly price breakdown.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $950 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · otm, and a bearish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-91
1W price+0.3%
Call premium0%
Put premium100%
Notional split C 0% / P 100% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.15 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 10/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · OTM
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 38 contracts traded, $950 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$950

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close44.24
1W+0.3%
RS17.5
Fair value+62.1%
Options pressure-91
Speculation3
Volatility50
Trend fit10

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.3% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.30 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.15 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:12 Mixed
Pressure 9
Move 8.7%
30 Jul 10:59 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 5.7%
31 Jul 10:41 Bearish
Pressure -91
Move 7.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 38 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.19
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.21
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts20
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.03
Put IV0.20
Skew0.17
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.01
Put IV0.13
Skew0.12
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.07
Put IV0.08
Skew0.01
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.36
Skew0.06

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractUVSP260821P00040000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume38
OI-
IV0.20
ContractUVSP261218C00045000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI62
IV0.24
ContractUVSP260918C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI61
IV1.27
ContractUVSP261218C00025000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI39
IV0.31
ContractUVSP260918P00045000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI29
IV0.01
ContractUVSP261218P00020000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI16
IV0.48
ContractUVSP261218C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI14
IV0.81
ContractUVSP260918C00022500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike22.50
Volume-
OI7
IV1.10