Ticker Options Intelligence

RF options intelligence

Regions Financial Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 39 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 22:21 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

RF currently carries bearish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 5.3%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.93

Put-side skew

Trend fit 75

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.3%

RS 5.7

Expected move 5.3%
Put-call volume 1.93
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.26
Max pain 30.00
Underlying 30.95
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 374

Research Brief

RF has a bearish chain read with 39/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 29.32–32.58; The largest call open-interest concentration is 33.00; the largest put concentration is 30.00. The most active strike by current volume is 30.00.

Priced range29.32–32.58
Call concentration33.00
Put concentration30.00
Max pain reference30.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 29.32 to 32.58. Max pain at 30.00 sits inside that range, 3.1% below spot.

Spot Max pain
29.3230.95 ± 1.6332.58
Confirmation level

A close beyond 32.58 or below 29.32 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 39/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 32/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure32 × 42%
+13.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement75 × 26%
+19.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility39 × 10%
+3.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score38.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 33.00; the largest put concentration is 30.00. The most active strike by current volume is 30.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
35
19.00-38.6%
0
47
20.00-35.4%
0
82
21.00-32.1%
0
36
22.00-28.9%
1
222
23.00-25.7%
2
47
24.00-22.5%
38
112
25.00-19.2%
103
236
26.00-16.0%
14
217
27.00-12.8%
107
626
28.00-9.5%
130
55
29.00-6.3%
582
1092
30.00-3.1%
578
170
31.000.2%
439
65
32.003.4%
1944
27
33.006.6%
3292
0
34.009.9%
295
251
35.0013.1%
1063
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.90× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.26 21 Aug 21d
0.25 18 Sep 49d
0.27 20 Nov 112d
0.27 18 Dec 140d
0.27 15 Jan 168d
0.28 19 Feb 203d
0.28 19 Mar 231d
0.28 17 Jun 321d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
374 / 374
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

66/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow before price confirmation

Put-side pressure is present before a decisive weekly price breakdown.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $34062 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · otm, and a bearish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-32
1W price+0.3%
Call premium50%
Put premium50%
Notional split C 50% / P 50% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 75/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · OTM
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 531 contracts traded, $15839 estimated gross traded notional, and 47% of visible notional.
$15839
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 30 contracts traded, $6750 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$6750
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 180 contracts traded, $6408 estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional.
$6408
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 30 contracts traded, $2625 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$2625
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 6 contracts traded, $660 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$660

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close30.95
1W+0.3%
RS5.7
Fair value+42.4%
Options pressure-32
Speculation8
Volatility39
Trend fit75

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.26 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.93 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:16 Bullish
Pressure 45
Move 5.3%
30 Jul 10:12 Mixed
Pressure -11
Move 4.9%
30 Jul 15:14 Mixed
Pressure -13
Move 4.7%
30 Jul 17:07 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 4.9%
31 Jul 00:21 Mixed
Pressure 4
Move 4.9%
31 Jul 01:52 Bullish
Pressure 77
Move 4.9%
1 Aug 21:21 Bearish
Pressure -32
Move 5.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike18.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 13
Puts · V 0 · OI 13
Strike19.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 35
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 47
Strike21.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 82
Strike22.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 36
Strike23.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 222
Strike24.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 38
Puts · V 0 · OI 47

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts48
Avg IV0.26
Put-call7.54
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.25
Put-call0.09
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts48
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts50
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.24
Skew0.03
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.31
Skew0.11
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.32
Skew0.09
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.32
Skew0.10
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.32
Skew0.08

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRF260821P00030000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume526
OI1092
IV0.24
ContractRF260918C00033000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike33.00
Volume127
OI277
IV0.20
ContractRF260918C00032000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike32.00
Volume53
OI696
IV0.20
ContractRF260821C00031000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike31.00
Volume30
OI439
IV0.30
ContractRF270115C00031000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike31.00
Volume30
OI74
IV0.24
ContractRF260821C00034000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike34.00
Volume26
OI295
IV0.18
ContractRF260821C00032000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike32.00
Volume12
OI1944
IV0.21
ContractRF260918P00025000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike25.00
Volume8
OI270
IV0.26