Ticker Options Intelligence

CCEP options intelligence

Coca-Cola European Partners PLC options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 40 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:03 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

CCEP currently carries bearish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 8.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 8.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.33

Put-side skew

Trend fit 79

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +4.1%

RS 7.2

Expected move 8.5%
Put-call volume 2.33
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.26
Max pain 95.00
Underlying 105.11
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 162

Research Brief

CCEP has a bearish chain read with 40/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 96.14–114.08; The largest call open-interest concentration is 105.00; the largest put concentration is 95.00. The most active strike by current volume is 105.00.

Priced range96.14–114.08
Call concentration105.00
Put concentration95.00
Max pain reference95.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 96.14 to 114.08. Max pain at 95.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
96.14105.11 ± 8.97114.08
Confirmation level

A close beyond 114.08 or below 96.14 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 40/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 29/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure29 × 42%
+12.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement79 × 26%
+20.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility53 × 10%
+5.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score39.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 105.00; the largest put concentration is 95.00. The most active strike by current volume is 105.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
50.00-52.4%
0
2
60.00-42.9%
0
3
65.00-38.2%
0
3
70.00-33.4%
0
4
75.00-28.6%
0
5
80.00-23.9%
6
36
85.00-19.1%
8
7
90.00-14.4%
22
44
95.00-9.6%
2
24
100.00-4.9%
28
12
105.00-0.1%
3053
2
110.004.7%
465
0
115.009.4%
69
0
120.0014.2%
2
0
125.0018.9%
1
0
130.0023.7%
1
0
135.0028.4%
2
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.00× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.26 21 Aug 22d
0.22 18 Sep 50d
0.25 20 Nov 113d
0.26 19 Feb 204d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
162 / 162
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

72/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow against rising price

Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $3298 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · otm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-29
1W price+4.1%
Call premium46%
Put premium54%
Notional split C 46% / P 54% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 79/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · OTM
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 5 contracts traded, $985 estimated gross traded notional, and 30% of visible notional.
$985
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $792 estimated gross traded notional, and 24% of visible notional.
$792
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $790 estimated gross traded notional, and 24% of visible notional.
$790
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $440 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$440
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $290 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$290

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close109.46
1W+4.1%
RS7.2
Fair value+38.6%
Options pressure-29
Speculation8
Volatility53
Trend fit79

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 8.5% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.26 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.33 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:11 Bullish
Pressure 85
Move 8.3%
30 Jul 10:06 Bearish
Pressure -19
Move 8.2%
31 Jul 10:03 Bearish
Pressure -29
Move 8.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 8
Puts · V 0 · OI 36

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.26
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.22
Put-call2.00
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts42
Avg IV0.25
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.26
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.33
Skew0.09
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.26
Skew0.06
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.26
Skew0.02
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.30
Skew0.09

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCCEP261120P00100000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike100.00
Volume4
OI16
IV0.31
ContractCCEP260821C00105000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike105.00
Volume1
OI3053
IV0.32
ContractCCEP260918C00115000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike115.00
Volume1
OI1162
IV0.25
ContractCCEP260821C00110000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike110.00
Volume1
OI465
IV0.31
ContractCCEP260918P00110000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike110.00
Volume1
OI41
IV0.24
ContractCCEP261120P00085000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike85.00
Volume1
OI13
IV0.19
ContractCCEP260918P00115000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike115.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.21
ContractCCEP261120C00115000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike115.00
Volume-
OI161
IV0.23

Research Graph

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