- The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CCEP
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Coca-Cola European Partners PLC · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Latest close
109.5 USD
4.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.
Setup score
70
out of 100
Latest Close
109.5 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
4.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
17.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.7%.
Indicator stack
55/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.33%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
38/100 conviction; expected move 5.3%.
News sentiment
59/100
41 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
3d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 2.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7212-week average 0.55
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.7% over four weeks, 17.0% over 12 weeks, and 15.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.98Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change59.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change6710.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 79%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength88/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Value84/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality95/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Momentum31/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework86/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 13.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 13.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 35.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 18.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 23.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 29.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 14.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 116.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
CCEP shows bearish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.00, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction38/100
Expected move5.3%
Put/call volume3.00
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment59/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.
19 positive · 22 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-9.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank32 / 100
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD57.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
4-week rank3 / 16
Group average-2.4%
Trend breadth56.3%
Trend56.2%active weekly trend signals
MD43.8%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape70/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis52/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.72; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.33%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.33% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors76/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 58; Buyback Yield rank 22 SVQF86/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 99.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options50/100CCEP shows bearish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.00, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 5.3% Sentiment59/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Advances EUR 1 Billion Share Buyback Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow3 items0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 109.5 USD | 4.1% | 97.09 USD | 78.97 USD | 0.98 | 7.22 | 13.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 105.1 USD | -0.1% | 96.35 USD | 78.65 USD | 0.98 | 3.35 | 8.6M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 105.2 USD | -0.6% | 95.87 USD | 78.35 USD | 1.04 | 1.52 | 8.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 105.8 USD | -0.7% | 95.41 USD | 78.06 USD | 0.81 | -2.31 | 8.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 106.6 USD | 4.9% | 94.87 USD | 77.77 USD | 0.62 | -0.11 | 9.8M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 101.6 USD | 4.8% | 94.31 USD | 77.46 USD | 0.19 | -4.24 | 9.7M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 96.93 USD | -2.4% | 93.95 USD | 77.19 USD | -0.31 | -12.95 | 8.0M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 99.34 USD | 4.9% | 93.71 USD | 76.95 USD | -0.40 | -8.88 | 9.6M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 94.74 USD | 4.5% | 93.38 USD | 76.70 USD | -0.72 | -11.48 | 12.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 90.69 USD | -3.6% | 93.19 USD | 76.47 USD | -0.84 | -19.47 | 8.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 94.12 USD | 5.3% | 93.05 USD | 76.26 USD | -0.73 | -14.54 | 9.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 89.36 USD | -4.5% | 92.89 USD | 76.03 USD | -0.67 | -18.29 | 8.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 93.56 USD | 0.4% | 92.85 USD | 75.84 USD | -0.43 | -15.14 | 7.5M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 93.18 USD | -4.0% | 92.58 USD | 75.63 USD | -0.23 | -11.35 | 8.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.