COTY NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Coty Inc · Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Latest close 2.75 USD
3.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 28.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 19.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 44/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 17d.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 2.75 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.8% latest completed week
4W Return 19.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 28.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 19.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1912-week average 0.09

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 19.6% over four weeks, 11.3% over 12 weeks, and -41.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.8%
4W19.6%
12W11.3%
26W-13.2%
52W-41.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.31Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change31.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.47Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change51.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum5/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
60.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
60.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-6.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-4.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-13.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
32.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

COTY shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 24.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction40/100
Expected move24.5%
Put/call volume0.39
Pressure53
Speculation16
Volatility96
Trend agreement17
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

4 positive · 19 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings17dNext report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move24.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-45.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.8%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-16.6%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+3.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol9.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -6.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.75 USD3.8%2.42 USD6.93 USD1.31-17.4739.0MOff
24 Jul 20262.65 USD1.5%2.43 USD6.99 USD1.31-20.9753.9MOff
17 Jul 20262.61 USD16.5%2.44 USD7.05 USD1.18-24.0850.1MOff
10 Jul 20262.24 USD-2.6%2.46 USD7.11 USD1.06-37.0047.5MOff
3 Jul 20262.30 USD19.8%2.50 USD7.17 USD0.99-35.8075.8MOff
26 Jun 20261.92 USD-1.5%2.54 USD7.24 USD0.82-46.35115.8MOff
19 Jun 20261.95 USD-5.8%2.58 USD7.30 USD0.62-47.82101.6MOff
12 Jun 20262.07 USD5.6%2.62 USD7.37 USD0.52-45.2543.5MOff
5 Jun 20261.96 USD-8.0%2.67 USD7.44 USD0.39-48.8747.4MOff
29 May 20262.13 USD4.9%2.73 USD7.50 USD0.49-46.9729.6MOff
22 May 20262.03 USD-1.5%2.79 USD7.56 USD0.55-49.7539.4MOff
15 May 20262.06 USD-16.6%2.86 USD7.62 USD0.59-49.5736.3MOff
8 May 20262.47 USD0.0%2.94 USD7.68 USD0.51-40.6158.7MOff
1 May 20262.47 USD2.1%3.00 USD7.73 USD0.07-40.2435.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.