- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
ELF
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
ELF Beauty Inc · Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Latest close
77.36 USD
5.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 27.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.0%, after a 14.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 6d.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
77.36 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
5.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
14.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
27.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
26.9%
14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 14.7%.
Indicator stack
15/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
48/100 conviction; expected move 9.7%.
News sentiment
58/100
53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
6d
Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 27.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.0%, after a 14.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1412-week average 0.06
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 14.7% over four weeks, 27.9% over 12 weeks, and -36.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change676.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change40.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength2/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth75/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework18/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 173.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 32.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 70.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 5.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 14.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 24.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -76.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 54.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
ELF shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.73, expected move of 9.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction48/100
Expected move9.7%
Put/call volume1.73
Insider activity3 / 17
3 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
24 positive · 23 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings6dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-48.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.4%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-15.8%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+5.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.4% / -7.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank3 / 100
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Household & Personal Products
4-week rank3 / 28
Group average4.4%
Trend breadth39.3%
Trend39.3%active weekly trend signals
MD85.7%positive activity pressure
RS32.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape32/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis20/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Factors11/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 31; Small Cap Core rank 95 SVQF18/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 826.5 of 1010 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options60/100ELF shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.73, expected move of 9.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.7% Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Stock Stays Stretched On Premium Sales Expectations Insiders3 / 173 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings6dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 77.36 USD | 5.0% | 72.19 USD | 116.4 USD | 1.01 | -18.93 | 11.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 73.69 USD | -4.0% | 72.29 USD | 116.7 USD | 1.00 | -24.21 | 10.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 76.75 USD | 0.4% | 72.52 USD | 116.9 USD | 0.93 | -23.30 | 12.9M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 76.42 USD | 13.3% | 72.50 USD | 117.2 USD | 0.70 | -23.44 | 19.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 67.43 USD | 5.0% | 72.67 USD | 117.4 USD | 0.13 | -32.05 | 13.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 64.20 USD | 5.0% | 72.96 USD | 117.7 USD | -0.28 | -37.85 | 16.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 61.15 USD | 23.4% | 73.16 USD | 118.0 USD | -0.51 | -41.22 | 21.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 49.57 USD | -11.5% | 73.57 USD | 118.2 USD | -0.66 | -52.92 | 22.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 56.00 USD | 5.9% | 74.37 USD | 118.6 USD | -0.62 | -49.04 | 16.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 52.90 USD | -6.3% | 76.58 USD | 118.9 USD | -0.57 | -51.92 | 30.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 56.43 USD | -7.3% | 78.91 USD | 119.2 USD | -0.67 | -48.77 | 20.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 60.86 USD | 0.6% | 81.59 USD | 119.4 USD | -0.73 | -45.05 | 12.6M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 60.49 USD | -8.7% | 83.89 USD | 119.6 USD | -0.67 | -44.36 | 13.8M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 66.28 USD | -0.8% | 86.36 USD | 119.8 USD | -0.58 | -38.76 | 9.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.