- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
TAL
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TAL Education Group · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Latest close
10.30 USD
0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 8.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
10.30 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.6%.
Indicator stack
21/41
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
43/100 conviction; expected move 23.3%.
News sentiment
56/100
56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
30 Jul
Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 8.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.20
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.6% over four weeks, -7.8% over 12 weeks, and 3.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change50.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.11Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change34.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 28 Feb 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength86/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Value87/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum28/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 10.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 20.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 55.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 9.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 30.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 8.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 34.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 529.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -9.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 11.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 11.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -1.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
TAL shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.24, expected move of 23.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction43/100
Expected move23.3%
Put/call volume0.24
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.
18 positive · 37 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move23.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.9% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank10 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Education & Training Services
4-week rank4 / 35
Group average-6.3%
Trend breadth31.4%
Trend31.4%active weekly trend signals
MD48.6%positive activity pressure
RS25.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape32/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors71/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 11 SVQF54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 469.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options47/100TAL shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.24, expected move of 23.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 23.3% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.
TAL Education Group Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $16.35, Implies 50% Upside Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 10.30 USD | 0.6% | 10.79 USD | 10.75 USD | -0.74 | -13.11 | 13.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 10.24 USD | -0.7% | 10.81 USD | 10.73 USD | -0.86 | -14.32 | 17.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 10.31 USD | 5.1% | 10.83 USD | 10.71 USD | -1.13 | -15.42 | 12.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 9.81 USD | 3.5% | 10.87 USD | 10.68 USD | -1.36 | -18.75 | 12.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 9.48 USD | 3.2% | 10.92 USD | 10.66 USD | -1.48 | -20.07 | 19.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 9.19 USD | -0.8% | 10.97 USD | 10.64 USD | -1.50 | -24.76 | 21.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 9.26 USD | -3.1% | 11.03 USD | 10.61 USD | -1.49 | -23.96 | 13.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 9.56 USD | -1.5% | 11.09 USD | 10.60 USD | -1.28 | -21.53 | 13.8M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 9.71 USD | -0.6% | 11.17 USD | 10.58 USD | -1.06 | -22.74 | 21.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 9.77 USD | -9.5% | 11.25 USD | 10.55 USD | -0.74 | -21.50 | 20.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 10.80 USD | -2.6% | 11.34 USD | 10.53 USD | -0.30 | -13.07 | 18.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 11.09 USD | -0.7% | 11.35 USD | 10.50 USD | 0.15 | -10.89 | 16.3M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 11.17 USD | -0.6% | 11.32 USD | 10.46 USD | 0.06 | -8.32 | 20.0M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 11.24 USD | -11.1% | 11.32 USD | 10.43 USD | -0.04 | -6.93 | 29.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.