EL NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Estee Lauder Companies Inc · Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

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Latest close 80.29 USD
-2.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -0.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 18d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 80.29 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.2% latest completed week
4W Return -0.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.3%. Indicator stack 34/45 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 37/100 conviction; expected move 6.2%. News sentiment 54/100 44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 18d Next report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -0.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1812-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.3% over four weeks, 1.6% over 12 weeks, and -9.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.2%
4W-0.3%
12W1.6%
26W-31.3%
52W-9.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-74.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength5/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum21/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework7/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
26.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
73.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
6.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

EL shows mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.82, expected move of 6.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction37/100
Expected move6.2%
Put/call volume0.82
Pressure12
Speculation41
Volatility81
Trend agreement57
Open options detail
Insider activity20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

13 positive · 29 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings18dNext report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.0%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-21.8%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-2.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis22/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers Factors16/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 42 SVQF7/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 946.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

EL shows mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.82, expected move of 6.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 6.2% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

Vanguard Portfolio Management (EL) discloses 12.4M-share, 5.02% holding in Estee Lauder Insiders20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings18d

Next report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202680.29 USD-2.2%90.31 USD98.49 USD0.05-18.8310.2MOff
17 Jul 202682.13 USD-0.6%91.20 USD99.07 USD0.14-17.8410.6MOff
10 Jul 202682.66 USD-1.3%92.03 USD99.63 USD0.21-18.9111.7MOff
3 Jul 202683.71 USD3.9%92.72 USD100.3 USD0.25-17.1813.8MOff
26 Jun 202680.54 USD-5.0%93.41 USD100.9 USD0.18-18.9318.8MOff
19 Jun 202684.81 USD-5.4%93.84 USD101.6 USD0.08-16.8817.1MOff
12 Jun 202689.68 USD7.4%93.98 USD102.2 USD-0.04-11.4516.6MOff
5 Jun 202683.49 USD-6.1%93.90 USD102.9 USD-0.29-16.9922.0MOff
29 May 202688.95 USD1.1%94.01 USD103.4 USD-0.46-13.7916.5MOff
22 May 202687.97 USD10.0%94.23 USD104.0 USD-0.64-13.4421.6MOff
15 May 202679.97 USD-6.9%94.67 USD104.6 USD-0.89-20.5314.6MOff
8 May 202685.86 USD8.7%95.33 USD105.3 USD-1.02-14.5018.4MOff
1 May 202678.99 USD1.9%95.35 USD105.9 USD-1.16-19.3821.9MOff
24 Apr 202677.51 USD2.1%95.62 USD106.6 USD-1.25-20.0814.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.