Ticker Options Intelligence

ALM options intelligence

Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 01:35 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

ALM currently carries bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 15.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 15.4%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.23

Call-side skew

Trend fit 6

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -17.1%

RS -14.1

Expected move 15.4%
Put-call volume 0.23
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 1.01
Max pain 17.50
Underlying 13.34
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 218

Research Brief

ALM has a bullish chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 11.29–15.39; The largest call open-interest concentration is 20.00; the largest put concentration is 10.00. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50.

Priced range11.29–15.39
Call concentration20.00
Put concentration10.00
Max pain reference17.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 11.29 to 15.39. Max pain at 17.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
11.2913.34 ± 2.0515.39
Confirmation level

A close beyond 15.39 or below 11.29 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 63/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure63 × 42%
+26.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation27 × 22%
+6.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement6 × 26%
+1.4

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score43.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 20.00; the largest put concentration is 10.00. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-81.3%
2
1
5.00-62.5%
5
15
7.50-43.8%
11
3719
10.00-25.0%
61
555
12.50-6.3%
77
1587
15.0012.4%
465
834
17.5031.2%
544
292
20.0049.9%
1627
41
22.5068.7%
209
3
25.0087.4%
1545
0
30.00124.9%
210
0
35.00162.4%
150
0
40.00199.9%
107
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.26× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.01 21 Aug 21d
0.88 18 Sep 49d
1.01 20 Nov 112d
0.95 18 Dec 140d
0.97 15 Jan 168d
0.94 19 Feb 203d
0.95 19 Mar 231d
0.92 17 Jun 321d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

13
15
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
218 / 218
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

92/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $31698 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+63
1W price-17.1%
Call premium53%
Put premium47%
Notional split C 53% / P 47% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 6/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 263 contracts traded, $13030 estimated gross traded notional, and 41% of visible notional.
$13030
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 12 contracts traded, $7820 estimated gross traded notional, and 25% of visible notional.
$7820
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 44 contracts traded, $2310 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$2310
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 57 contracts traded, $2232 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$2232
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 19 contracts traded, $1788 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$1788

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close11.06
1W-17.1%
RS-14.1
Fair value-4.5%
Options pressure63
Speculation27
Volatility96
Trend fit6

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 15.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.23 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:36 Volatility
Pressure -52
Move 13.5%
30 Jul 10:33 Volatility
Pressure -22
Move 16.9%
31 Jul 13:32 Bullish
Pressure 51
Move 18.2%
31 Jul 14:45 Volatility
Pressure -76
Move 18.6%
1 Aug 00:35 Bullish
Pressure 63
Move 15.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 15
Strike10.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 61
Puts · V 44 · OI 3719
Strike12.50
Calls · V 258 · OI 77
Puts · V 0 · OI 555
Strike15.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 465
Puts · V 1 · OI 1587
Strike17.50
Calls · V 4 · OI 544
Puts · V 10 · OI 834
Strike20.00
Calls · V 12 · OI 1627
Puts · V 1 · OI 292

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV1.01
Put-call0.20
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV0.88
Put-call0.42
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV1.01
Put-call0.17
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV0.95
Put-call0.25
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts24
Avg IV0.97
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.08
Put IV0.97
Skew-0.11
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.02
Put IV0.90
Skew-0.12
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.96
Put IV0.94
Skew-0.02
18 Dec 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.06
Put IV0.82
Skew-0.23
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV1.02
Put IV0.86
Skew-0.16

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractALM260821C00012500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike12.50
Volume258
OI77
IV0.92
ContractALM260821P00010000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume44
OI3719
IV0.97
ContractALM261120C00025000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike25.00
Volume30
OI2938
IV1.05
ContractALM261120C00020000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike20.00
Volume21
OI438
IV0.96
ContractALM260821C00020000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume12
OI1627
IV1.47
ContractALM260821P00017500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume10
OI834
IV1.32
ContractALM270219P00007500
SidePut
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike7.50
Volume10
OI10
IV0.93
ContractALM261120P00007500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike7.50
Volume8
OI182
IV1.03