ALM NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

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Latest close 11.06 USD
-17.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 35.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -17.1%, after a -29.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 44/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 11.06 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -17.1% latest completed week
4W Return -29.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -43.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -17.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -29.6%. Indicator stack 24/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.78% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 44/100 conviction; expected move 18.8%. News sentiment 56/100 38 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 35.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -17.1%, after a -29.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4512-week average 0.73

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -29.6% over four weeks, -43.8% over 12 weeks, and 194.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-17.1%
4W-29.6%
12W-43.8%
26W-2.0%
52W194.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change12.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength22/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Value15/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality20/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
75.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
29.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-252.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
139.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-36.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
86.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
188.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-8.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-8.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ALM shows bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.23, expected move of 18.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction44/100
Expected move18.8%
Put/call volume0.23
Pressure63
Speculation27
Volatility96
Trend agreement9
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.

8 positive · 30 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-54.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-17.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-17.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol9.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.3% / -8.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis44/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.45; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.78%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.78% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors36/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 85; Small Cap Core rank 92 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

ALM shows bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.23, expected move of 18.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 18.8% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.

Are Basic Materials Stocks Lagging Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) This Year? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202611.06 USD-17.1%16.15 USD11.58 USD-0.65-14.0543.3MOff
24 Jul 202613.34 USD-3.1%16.07 USD11.59 USD-0.735.2320.4MOff
17 Jul 202613.77 USD-17.1%15.95 USD11.55 USD-0.648.3032.8MOff
10 Jul 202616.61 USD5.7%15.77 USD11.51 USD-0.6626.7636.5MOn
3 Jul 202615.71 USD-3.5%15.44 USD11.41 USD-0.74-16.8MOn
26 Jun 202616.28 USD-13.5%15.16 USD11.33 USD-0.68-34.0MOn
19 Jun 202618.81 USD6.4%14.84 USD11.22 USD-0.61-22.7MOn
12 Jun 202617.68 USD8.4%14.40 USD11.07 USD-0.52-30.8MOn
5 Jun 202616.31 USD-17.0%14.03 USD10.93 USD-0.42-32.9MOn
29 May 202619.66 USD5.4%13.72 USD10.81 USD-0.23-17.6MOn
22 May 202618.66 USD6.9%13.31 USD10.61 USD0.04-17.5MOn
15 May 202617.45 USD-11.3%12.91 USD10.43 USD0.43-26.1MOn
8 May 202619.68 USD-4.5%12.61 USD10.27 USD0.91-22.3MOn
1 May 202620.60 USD-6.0%12.21 USD10.04 USD1.00-20.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.