NEXA NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nexa Resources SA · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

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Latest close 12.85 USD
0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 12.85 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 39-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.4%. Indicator stack 86/11 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 47/100 conviction; expected move 14.2%. News sentiment 56/100 48 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6412-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, -10.3% over 12 weeks, and 175.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 39 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.9%
4W-0.4%
12W-10.3%
26W1.9%
52W175.2%
Active trend streak39 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-249.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-27.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength100/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality84/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth75/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework94/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
3.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
26.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
22.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
22.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
28.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
18.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
15.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
83.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

NEXA shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.21, expected move of 14.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction47/100
Expected move14.2%
Put/call volume0.21
Pressure73
Speculation1
Volatility90
Trend agreement26
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

17 positive · 29 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move14.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+35.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-20.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -7.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis74/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.64; No reversal markers Factors93/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 32; Small Cap Core rank 5 SVQF94/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 64.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

NEXA shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.21, expected move of 14.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 14.2% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

Nexa Resources SA (NEXA) Financial Health: Profitability & Balance Sheet Analysis Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202612.85 USD0.9%12.82 USD7.58 USD-1.0620.322.5MOn
24 Jul 202612.73 USD5.6%12.69 USD7.53 USD-0.9122.122.2MOn
17 Jul 202612.06 USD-17.7%12.58 USD7.48 USD-0.7116.463.0MOn
10 Jul 202614.65 USD13.6%12.45 USD7.43 USD-0.4040.973.4MOn
3 Jul 202612.90 USD1.5%12.23 USD7.37 USD-0.3027.844.2MOn
26 Jun 202612.71 USD-10.7%12.04 USD7.32 USD-0.2030.433.4MOn
19 Jun 202614.24 USD3.7%11.85 USD7.26 USD0.0144.553.3MOn
12 Jun 202613.73 USD5.2%11.58 USD7.20 USD0.0542.994.4MOn
5 Jun 202613.05 USD-13.8%11.34 USD7.15 USD0.1638.786.3MOn
29 May 202615.14 USD4.6%11.07 USD7.10 USD0.2759.303.2MOn
22 May 202614.47 USD-2.6%10.76 USD7.03 USD0.2457.263.7MOn
15 May 202614.85 USD3.6%10.47 USD6.97 USD0.2765.608.8MOn
8 May 202614.33 USD-7.5%10.16 USD6.91 USD0.3663.097.5MOn
1 May 202615.50 USD7.4%9.86 USD6.86 USD0.1783.635.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.