- The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.48% based on similar historical setup states.
GGB
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Gerdau SA ADR · Basic Materials · Steel
Latest close
4.81 USD
1.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 15.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 60/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 0d.
Setup score
71
out of 100
Latest Close
4.81 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
15.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
7.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 15.9%.
Indicator stack
97/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.48%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
60/100 conviction; expected move 17.1%.
News sentiment
58/100
45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
0d
Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 15.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7912-week average 0.71
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 15.9% over four weeks, 7.5% over 12 weeks, and 63.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-147.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership18.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change217.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum88/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Growth2/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 5.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 2.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 74.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 12.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 6.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 21.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -49.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -18.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 11.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 13.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
GGB shows volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 17.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction60/100
Expected move17.1%
Put/call volume0.00
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.
19 positive · 26 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank5 / 100
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth28.0%
Trend28.0%active weekly trend signals
MD26.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Steel
4-week rank3 / 18
Group average8.6%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD38.9%positive activity pressure
RS55.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape70/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis75/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.79; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.48%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.48% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors73/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 1 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options38/100GGB shows volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 17.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 17.1% Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.
Gerdau S.A. (GGB) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.81 USD | 1.9% | 4.18 USD | 3.35 USD | -0.17 | 18.68 | 85.8M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.72 USD | 4.9% | 4.14 USD | 3.35 USD | -0.25 | 16.52 | 79.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.50 USD | 10.6% | 4.11 USD | 3.35 USD | -0.23 | 10.12 | 84.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.07 USD | -1.9% | 4.08 USD | 3.34 USD | -0.00 | 1.42 | 73.5M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.15 USD | -0.5% | 4.06 USD | 3.34 USD | 0.35 | 5.88 | 76.4M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.17 USD | -12.2% | 4.04 USD | 3.34 USD | 0.48 | 4.28 | 74.6M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.75 USD | 3.5% | 4.01 USD | 3.34 USD | 0.67 | 20.27 | 90.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.59 USD | 2.0% | 3.97 USD | 3.33 USD | 0.60 | 17.52 | 103.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.50 USD | -5.3% | 3.93 USD | 3.33 USD | 0.58 | 12.90 | 80.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.75 USD | 3.3% | 3.89 USD | 3.32 USD | 0.53 | 21.61 | 82.1M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.60 USD | -4.4% | 3.84 USD | 3.32 USD | 0.32 | 19.60 | 85.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.81 USD | 7.5% | 3.80 USD | 3.31 USD | 0.15 | 26.12 | 105.9M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 4.47 USD | 4.6% | 3.74 USD | 3.30 USD | -0.06 | 20.95 | 89.2M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 4.28 USD | 0.2% | 3.70 USD | 3.29 USD | -0.24 | 17.44 | 76.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.