MT NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ArcelorMittal SA ADR · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 66.88 USD
0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 11.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 44/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 66.88 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.6% latest completed week
4W Return 11.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 17.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 78-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.03% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 11.7%. Indicator stack 100/38 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.03% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 44/100 conviction; expected move 5.5%. News sentiment 60/100 48 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 11.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8512-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.7% over four weeks, 17.9% over 12 weeks, and 101.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 78 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.6%
4W11.7%
12W17.9%
26W23.7%
52W101.0%
Active trend streak78 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-122.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership24.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change41.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength88/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework22/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
20.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
32.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
19.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
142.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
24.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MT shows mixed options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.27, expected move of 5.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction44/100
Expected move5.5%
Put/call volume1.27
Pressure-9
Speculation40
Volatility78
Trend agreement90
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

25 positive · 20 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move5.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-15.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.9% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape68/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis72/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.85; 9 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.03%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.03% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors72/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 37 SVQF22/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 789.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options60/100

MT shows mixed options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.27, expected move of 5.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.5% Sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

ArcelorMittal (MT) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.

 Research flow2 items

2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202666.88 USD0.6%59.28 USD33.69 USD-0.1024.517.4MOn
17 Jul 202666.45 USD0.6%58.59 USD33.43 USD-0.0924.228.1MOn
10 Jul 202666.08 USD4.2%57.86 USD33.17 USD0.0222.8610.0MOn
3 Jul 202663.40 USD5.9%57.19 USD32.92 USD0.2620.547.5MOn
26 Jun 202659.88 USD-5.6%56.48 USD32.67 USD0.4217.376.4MOn
19 Jun 202663.41 USD-10.5%55.91 USD32.46 USD0.5922.387.2MOn
12 Jun 202670.81 USD5.4%55.12 USD32.21 USD0.6339.2710.4MOn
5 Jun 202667.21 USD-3.2%54.07 USD31.93 USD0.2334.6411.7MOn
29 May 202669.41 USD5.0%53.12 USD31.67 USD0.0737.169.8MOn
22 May 202666.08 USD9.9%52.06 USD31.38 USD-0.1434.0215.1MOn
15 May 202660.15 USD-2.8%51.14 USD31.12 USD-0.3824.378.4MOn
8 May 202661.90 USD9.1%50.41 USD30.90 USD-0.3529.3710.5MOn
1 May 202656.72 USD-4.8%49.57 USD30.66 USD-0.3722.469.7MOn
24 Apr 202659.57 USD-3.8%48.94 USD30.46 USD-0.4730.816.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.