TX NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ternium SA ADR · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 49.24 USD
4.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 17.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 74 out of 100
Latest Close 49.24 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.1% latest completed week
4W Return 17.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 58-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 17.9%. Indicator stack 100/53 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.63% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 48/100 conviction; expected move 8.1%. News sentiment 58/100 38 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 17.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7212-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.9% over four weeks, 8.0% over 12 weeks, and 62.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 58 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.1%
4W17.9%
12W8.0%
26W21.2%
52W62.6%
Active trend streak58 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-42.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2287.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength89/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality24/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Momentum87/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Growth5/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
31.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
30.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-7.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
35.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TX shows bullish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction48/100
Expected move8.1%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation2
Volatility57
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.

15 positive · 23 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.8%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-10.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split35/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape73/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 73/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis78/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.72; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.63%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.63% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors72/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 67; Small Cap Core rank 10 SVQF36/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 649.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

TX shows bullish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.1% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.

Ternium (NYSE:TX) Downgraded to Hold Rating by Zacks Research Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202649.24 USD4.1%42.81 USD33.36 USD0.3716.163.1MOn
24 Jul 202647.30 USD5.8%42.43 USD33.25 USD0.1813.453.8MOn
17 Jul 202644.70 USD0.9%42.10 USD33.18 USD0.137.172.9MOn
10 Jul 202644.30 USD6.1%41.82 USD33.11 USD0.325.073.1MOn
3 Jul 202641.75 USD-6.1%41.58 USD33.05 USD0.640.681.8MOn
26 Jun 202644.44 USD-4.0%41.43 USD33.00 USD1.059.751.5MOn
19 Jun 202646.30 USD-6.6%41.14 USD32.92 USD1.3312.131.9MOn
12 Jun 202649.55 USD3.2%40.76 USD32.82 USD1.4121.742.6MOn
5 Jun 202648.02 USD-0.5%40.28 USD32.72 USD1.0719.433.2MOn
29 May 202648.25 USD2.7%39.83 USD32.63 USD0.9517.792.8MOn
22 May 202646.99 USD9.8%39.36 USD32.52 USD0.6117.182.3MOn
15 May 202642.78 USD-6.1%38.93 USD32.42 USD0.278.291.7MOn
8 May 202645.58 USD8.1%38.63 USD32.35 USD0.1216.141.9MOn
1 May 202642.15 USD0.2%38.22 USD32.25 USD-0.2910.462.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.