WFG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

West Fraser Timber Co Ltd · Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production

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Latest close 64.85 USD
-2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a -6.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 57/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 64.85 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.0% latest completed week
4W Return -6.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
  • 5 accumulation markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.9%. Indicator stack 8/59 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 57/100 conviction; expected move 16.7%. News sentiment 49/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a -6.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6112-week average 0.33

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

5 accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.9% over four weeks, 5.3% over 12 weeks, and -5.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.0%
4W-6.9%
12W5.3%
26W-4.7%
52W-5.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-38.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-99.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value73/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Quality8/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Momentum24/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Growth15/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
1.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-24.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-15.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-16.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-63.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

WFG shows bearish options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 16.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction57/100
Expected move16.7%
Put/call volume
Pressure-97
Speculation14
Volatility54
Trend agreement30
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

12 positive · 30 neutral · 15 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move16.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.8%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-2.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape38/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis53/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.61; No reversal markers Factors35/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 26; Small Cap Core rank 28 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options30/100

WFG shows bearish options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 16.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 16.7% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

West Fraser Timber Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202664.85 USD-2.0%66.50 USD74.17 USD0.65-10.021.2MOff
24 Jul 202666.19 USD-6.0%66.42 USD74.24 USD0.73-7.611.4MOff
17 Jul 202670.41 USD4.7%66.21 USD74.33 USD0.84-2.74991.0KOn
10 Jul 202667.27 USD-3.4%65.82 USD74.41 USD0.85-8.93747.4KOn
3 Jul 202669.64 USD0.2%65.56 USD74.52 USD1.05-5.03602.2KOn
26 Jun 202669.48 USD-0.6%65.30 USD74.59 USD0.97-3.721.0MOn
19 Jun 202669.88 USD1.7%65.01 USD74.67 USD0.76-5.89910.6KOn
12 Jun 202668.73 USD4.6%64.65 USD74.71 USD0.25-7.101.5MOn
5 Jun 202665.70 USD-4.1%64.35 USD74.76 USD-0.36-11.26952.6KOff
29 May 202668.51 USD10.8%64.10 USD74.80 USD-0.63-10.38825.7KOff
22 May 202661.82 USD4.9%63.83 USD74.79 USD-0.92-18.47722.7KOff
15 May 202658.95 USD-4.2%63.94 USD74.83 USD-0.84-22.20762.1KOff
8 May 202661.56 USD-0.9%64.18 USD74.91 USD-0.61-19.28871.5KOff
1 May 202662.11 USD-4.7%64.35 USD74.97 USD-0.55-17.38872.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.