Ticker Options Intelligence

VSAT options intelligence

ViaSat Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 58 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 02:26 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

VSAT currently carries volatility options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 19.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 19.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.30

Call-side skew

Trend fit 51

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +7.3%

RS 49.6

Expected move 19.7%
Put-call volume 0.30
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 1.04
Max pain 55.00
Underlying 76.93
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 388

Research Brief

VSAT has a volatility chain read with 58/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 61.78–92.08; The largest call open-interest concentration is 55.00; the largest put concentration is 50.00. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00.

Priced range61.78–92.08
Call concentration55.00
Put concentration50.00
Max pain reference55.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 61.78 to 92.08. Max pain at 55.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
61.7876.93 ± 15.1592.08
Confirmation level

A close beyond 92.08 or below 61.78 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 58/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 62/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure62 × 42%
+25.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation40 × 22%
+8.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement51 × 26%
+13.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score57.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 55.00; the largest put concentration is 50.00. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
9
40.00-48.0%
2
198
45.00-41.5%
2
2233
50.00-35.0%
23
317
55.00-28.5%
1026
176
60.00-22.0%
16
465
65.00-15.5%
37
99
70.00-9.0%
321
63
75.00-2.5%
287
147
80.004.0%
625
13
85.0010.5%
220
4
90.0017.0%
512
16
95.0023.5%
126
1
100.0030.0%
229
1
105.0036.5%
23
1
110.0043.0%
35
0
115.0049.5%
38
0
135.0075.5%
23
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.19× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.04 21 Aug 21d
0.94 18 Sep 49d
0.93 18 Dec 140d
0.92 15 Jan 168d
0.91 19 Mar 231d
0.88 17 Dec 504d
0.88 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

65
70
75
80
85
90
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
388 / 388
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

94/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $669764 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+62
1W price+7.3%
Call premium90%
Put premium10%
Notional split C 90% / P 10% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 51/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · OTM
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 1068 contracts traded, $506200 estimated gross traded notional, and 76% of visible notional.
$506200
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 310 contracts traded, $35728 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$35728
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 115 contracts traded, $33952 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$33952
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 15 contracts traded, $22460 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$22460
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 13 contracts traded, $22420 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$22420

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close76.93
1W+7.3%
RS49.6
Fair value+190.7%
Options pressure62
Speculation40
Volatility96
Trend fit51

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 19.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.04 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.30 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:26 Mixed
Pressure -1
Move 22.0%
30 Jul 10:22 Volatility
Pressure 96
Move 20.6%
31 Jul 12:44 Volatility
Pressure 36
Move 23.3%
31 Jul 14:17 Volatility
Pressure 33
Move 22.2%
2 Aug 01:26 Volatility
Pressure 62
Move 19.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 9
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 1 · OI 198
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 23
Puts · V 1 · OI 2233
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1026
Puts · V 5 · OI 317
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 16
Puts · V 10 · OI 176
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 37
Puts · V 1 · OI 465
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 321
Puts · V 8 · OI 99
Strike75.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 287
Puts · V 12 · OI 63

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV1.04
Put-call0.04
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.94
Put-call2.42
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts42
Avg IV0.93
Put-call0.22
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts74
Avg IV0.92
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts28
Avg IV0.91
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.03
Put IV1.06
Skew0.03
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.95
Put IV0.94
Skew-0.01
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.93
Put IV0.93
Skew-
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.93
Put IV0.92
Skew-0.01
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.91
Put IV0.92
Skew0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVSAT260821C00085000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume1027
OI220
IV1.06
ContractVSAT260918P00046000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike46.00
Volume284
OI2
IV1.05
ContractVSAT260918C00110000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike110.00
Volume100
OI4322
IV0.94
ContractVSAT260821C00090000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike90.00
Volume12
OI512
IV1.05
ContractVSAT260821P00075000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike75.00
Volume12
OI63
IV1.04
ContractVSAT260918C00070000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike70.00
Volume10
OI5778
IV0.93
ContractVSAT260918P00040000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike40.00
Volume10
OI5690
IV1.27
ContractVSAT260821P00060000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike60.00
Volume10
OI176
IV1.08