Ticker Options Intelligence

HAL options intelligence

Halliburton Company options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 45 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 19:01 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

HAL currently carries bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 4.0%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.15

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -3.3%

RS -4.8

Expected move 4.0%
Put-call volume 0.15
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 0.35
Max pain 32.50
Underlying 32.25
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 672

Research Brief

HAL has a bullish chain read with 45/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 30.97–33.53; The largest call open-interest concentration is 38.00; the largest put concentration is 32.00. The most active strike by current volume is 32.50.

Priced range30.97–33.53
Call concentration38.00
Put concentration32.00
Max pain reference32.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 30.97 to 33.53. Max pain at 32.50 sits inside that range, 0.8% above spot.

Spot Max pain
30.9732.25 ± 1.2833.53
Confirmation level

A close beyond 33.53 or below 30.97 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 45/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 77/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure77 × 42%
+32.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility40 × 10%
+4.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score45.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 38.00; the largest put concentration is 32.00. The most active strike by current volume is 32.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
146
29.00-10.1%
3
186
30.00-7.0%
4
471
30.50-5.4%
22
121
31.00-3.9%
141
229
31.50-2.3%
137
893
32.00-0.8%
18
42
32.500.8%
42
164
33.002.3%
99
22
33.503.9%
296
59
34.005.4%
208
4
34.507.0%
309
72
35.008.5%
390
1
35.5010.1%
103
3
36.0011.6%
126
0
38.0017.8%
606
0
38.5019.4%
516
0
40.0024.0%
128
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.94× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.35 7 Aug 7d
0.35 14 Aug 14d
0.35 21 Aug 21d
0.36 28 Aug 28d
0.35 4 Sep 35d
0.36 11 Sep 42d
0.35 18 Sep 49d
0.37 16 Oct 77d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

26
27
28
29
30
30
31
31
32
32
33
34
34
35
35
36
36
37
38
38
39
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
672 / 672
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

77/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1.7M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 0-7 days · atm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+77
1W price-3.3%
Call premium87%
Put premium13%
Notional split C 87% / P 13% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 0-7 days · ATM
Calls · 0-7 days · ATM calls cluster with 10626 contracts traded, $556107 estimated gross traded notional, and 33% of visible notional.
$556107
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 2500 contracts traded, $329540 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$329540
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 413 contracts traded, $263740 estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$263740
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 794 contracts traded, $74548 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$74548
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 810 contracts traded, $60283 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$60283

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close32.25
1W-3.3%
RS-4.8
Fair value+6.0%
Options pressure77
Speculation41
Volatility40
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.0% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.35 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.15 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:13 Volatility
Pressure 66
Move 8.9%
30 Jul 09:34 Mixed
Pressure -13
Move 7.6%
31 Jul 05:25 Mixed
Pressure 7
Move 4.9%
31 Jul 23:48 Bullish
Pressure 48
Move 4.4%
1 Aug 00:27 Bullish
Pressure 76
Move 4.4%
1 Aug 08:59 Bullish
Pressure 77
Move 4.8%
1 Aug 18:01 Bullish
Pressure 77
Move 4.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike22.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike23.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike24.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike26.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike27.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike28.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 40
Strike28.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV0.35
Put-call0.06
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.35
Put-call0.40
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts80
Avg IV0.35
Put-call0.35
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.36
Put-call0.91
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts48
Avg IV0.35
Put-call0.18

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.35
Skew-0.01
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.34
Skew-0.03
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.35
Put IV0.34
Skew-0.01
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.35
Put IV0.36
Skew0.01
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.34
Put IV0.39
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractHAL260807C00032500
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike32.50
Volume10210
OI42
IV0.35
ContractHAL260918C00033000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike33.00
Volume2432
OI5371
IV0.33
ContractHAL261016C00035000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike35.00
Volume622
OI567
IV0.35
ContractHAL260918P00029000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike29.00
Volume337
OI2819
IV0.37
ContractHAL270319C00030000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike30.00
Volume287
OI25
IV0.37
ContractHAL260807P00030000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume271
OI186
IV0.40
ContractHAL260807C00035000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike35.00
Volume234
OI390
IV0.37
ContractHAL260807C00033000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike33.00
Volume208
OI99
IV0.35