Ticker Options Intelligence

TPR options intelligence

Tapestry Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 16:49 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

TPR currently carries mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.07.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 4.3%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.07

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.22

Balanced tape

Trend fit 92

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +6.9%

RS 8.9

Expected move 4.3%
Put-call volume 1.22
Volume / OI 0.07
Reference IV 0.39
Max pain 141.00
Underlying 152.37
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 1194

Research Brief

TPR has a mixed chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 145.87–158.87; The largest call open-interest concentration is 150.00; the largest put concentration is 141.00. The most active strike by current volume is 152.50.

Priced range145.87–158.87
Call concentration150.00
Put concentration141.00
Max pain reference141.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 145.87 to 158.87. Max pain at 141.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
145.87152.37 ± 6.50158.87
Confirmation level

A close beyond 158.87 or below 145.87 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 13/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure13 × 42%
+5.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation42 × 22%
+9.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement92 × 26%
+23.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility44 × 10%
+4.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score43.2Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 150.00; the largest put concentration is 141.00. The most active strike by current volume is 152.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
66
110.00-27.8%
5
16
115.00-24.5%
5
15
120.00-21.2%
0
3
130.00-14.7%
3
1
131.00-14.0%
0
0
132.00-13.4%
0
7
133.00-12.7%
0
0
134.00-12.1%
0
2
135.00-11.4%
0
200
140.00-8.1%
0
543
141.00-7.5%
0
1
145.00-4.8%
101
0
146.00-4.2%
0
0
150.00-1.6%
254
1
152.500.1%
6
0
155.001.7%
7
0
160.005.0%
204
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.87× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.39 7 Aug 7d
0.67 14 Aug 14d
0.59 21 Aug 21d
0.54 28 Aug 28d
0.51 4 Sep 35d
0.49 11 Sep 42d
0.47 18 Sep 49d
0.47 20 Nov 112d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

122
124
126
128
130
132
134
136
138
140
142
143
145
147
149
153
158
163
168
173
180
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1194 / 1194
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

78/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $2.2M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 0-7 days · itm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-13
1W price+6.9%
Call premium85%
Put premium15%
Notional split C 85% / P 15% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.07 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 92/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 10 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 0-7 days · ITM
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 735 contracts traded, $1.5M estimated gross traded notional, and 69% of visible notional.
$1.5M
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 181 contracts traded, $170140 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$170140
Puts · 0-7 days · ATM puts cluster with 403 contracts traded, $131982 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$131982
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 149 contracts traded, $64565 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$64565
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 485 contracts traded, $59946 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$59946

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close152.37
1W+6.9%
RS8.9
Fair value+97.6%
Options pressure-13
Speculation42
Volatility44
Trend fit92

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.39 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.22 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.07 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:14 Bullish
Pressure 35
Move 6.3%
30 Jul 10:11 Mixed
Pressure 18
Move 6.1%
30 Jul 14:50 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 6.6%
31 Jul 11:41 Bullish
Pressure 71
Move 1.4%
31 Jul 20:29 Mixed
Pressure 3
Move 7.7%
1 Aug 08:03 Mixed
Pressure -13
Move 8.4%
2 Aug 15:49 Mixed
Pressure -13
Move 4.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike110.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 66

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts116
Avg IV0.39
Put-call0.93
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts132
Avg IV0.67
Put-call0.72
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts108
Avg IV0.59
Put-call12.76
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts100
Avg IV0.54
Put-call1.14
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts98
Avg IV0.51
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.40
Skew0.02
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.66
Put IV0.76
Skew0.10
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.58
Put IV0.60
Skew0.02
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.52
Put IV0.57
Skew0.05
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.48
Put IV0.50
Skew0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractTPR260821P00125000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike125.00
Volume466
OI686
IV0.68
ContractTPR260807P00152500
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike152.50
Volume403
OI1
IV0.39
ContractTPR260807P00146000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike146.00
Volume314
OI-
IV0.41
ContractTPR260807C00131000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike131.00
Volume188
OI-
IV0.76
ContractTPR260807C00130000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike130.00
Volume186
OI3
IV0.77
ContractTPR260918C00155000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike155.00
Volume181
OI242
IV0.46
ContractTPR270617P00090000
SidePut
Expiry17 Jun 2027
Strike90.00
Volume131
OI-
IV0.54
ContractTPR260807C00135000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike135.00
Volume110
OI-
IV0.01