Ticker Options Intelligence

RYN options intelligence

Rayonier Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 44 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 20:51 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

RYN currently carries bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 6.4%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.09

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.9%

RS -9.5

Expected move 6.4%
Put-call volume 0.09
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.32
Max pain 20.00
Underlying 21.78
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 106

Research Brief

RYN has a bullish chain read with 44/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 20.38–23.18; The largest call open-interest concentration is 22.50; the largest put concentration is 20.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00.

Priced range20.38–23.18
Call concentration22.50
Put concentration20.00
Max pain reference20.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 20.38 to 23.18. Max pain at 20.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
20.3821.78 ± 1.4023.18
Confirmation level

A close beyond 23.18 or below 20.38 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 44/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 91/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure91 × 42%
+38.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation6 × 22%
+1.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility48 × 10%
+4.8

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 22.50; the largest put concentration is 20.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
10
12.50-42.6%
0
24
15.00-31.1%
1
145
17.50-19.7%
104
1125
20.00-8.2%
791
872
22.503.3%
1656
1
25.0014.8%
568
3
27.5026.3%
252
0
30.0037.7%
58
0
32.5049.2%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.24× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.32 21 Aug 21d
0.25 18 Sep 49d
0.28 16 Oct 77d
0.30 20 Nov 112d
0.27 15 Jan 168d
0.26 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

18
20
23
25
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
106 / 106
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

74/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $11896 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+91
1W price+0.9%
Call premium95%
Put premium5%
Notional split C 95% / P 5% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $4350 estimated gross traded notional, and 37% of visible notional.
$4350
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 66 contracts traded, $3530 estimated gross traded notional, and 30% of visible notional.
$3530
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 31 contracts traded, $2698 estimated gross traded notional, and 23% of visible notional.
$2698
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 53 contracts traded, $519 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$519
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $258 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$258

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close21.78
1W+0.9%
RS-9.5
Fair value-8.9%
Options pressure91
Speculation6
Volatility48
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.32 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.09 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:35 Bullish
Pressure 43
Move 6.7%
30 Jul 10:32 Mixed
Pressure 4
Move 6.3%
30 Jul 14:02 Bullish
Pressure 64
Move 6.6%
30 Jul 22:11 Bullish
Pressure 61
Move 7.2%
31 Jul 08:51 Bullish
Pressure 26
Move 7.2%
31 Jul 13:51 Bullish
Pressure 60
Move 7.2%
31 Jul 15:26 Bullish
Pressure 65
Move 7.0%
1 Aug 19:51 Bullish
Pressure 91
Move 6.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 24
Strike17.50
Calls · V 10 · OI 104
Puts · V 0 · OI 145
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 791
Puts · V 3 · OI 1125
Strike22.50
Calls · V 9 · OI 1656
Puts · V 1 · OI 872
Strike25.00
Calls · V 40 · OI 568
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike27.50
Calls · V 3 · OI 252
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike30.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 58
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.32
Put-call0.06
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.25
Put-call0.14
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.28
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts18
Avg IV0.27
Put-call0.20

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.38
Skew0.06
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.26
Put IV0.31
Skew0.05
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.29
Skew0.07
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.35
Skew0.13
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.29
Skew0.08

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRYN260918C00022500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike22.50
Volume64
OI85
IV0.26
ContractRYN260821C00025000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume40
OI568
IV0.27
ContractRYN261120C00022500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike22.50
Volume25
OI266
IV0.24
ContractRYN260821C00017500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume10
OI104
IV0.51
ContractRYN260821C00022500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike22.50
Volume9
OI1656
IV0.32
ContractRYN260918P00020000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike20.00
Volume7
OI126
IV0.31
ContractRYN270115C00025000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike25.00
Volume5
OI835
IV0.21
ContractRYN260821P00020000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume3
OI1125
IV0.38