Ticker Options Intelligence

FITB options intelligence

Fifth Third Bancorp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 23:39 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

FITB currently carries bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.10.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 5.7%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.10

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.71

Call-side skew

Trend fit 72

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -1.0%

RS 11.2

Expected move 5.7%
Put-call volume 0.71
Volume / OI 0.10
Reference IV 0.38
Max pain 55.00
Underlying 57.41
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 241

Research Brief

FITB has a bullish chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 54.11–60.71; The largest call open-interest concentration is 55.00; the largest put concentration is 48.00. The most active strike by current volume is 60.00.

Priced range54.11–60.71
Call concentration55.00
Put concentration48.00
Max pain reference55.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 54.11 to 60.71. Max pain at 55.00 sits inside that range, 4.2% below spot.

Spot Max pain
54.1157.41 ± 3.3060.71
Confirmation level

A close beyond 60.71 or below 54.11 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 24/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure24 × 42%
+10.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation42 × 22%
+9.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement72 × 26%
+18.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility50 × 10%
+5.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score43.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 55.00; the largest put concentration is 48.00. The most active strike by current volume is 60.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
30
30.00-47.7%
0
13
35.00-39.0%
0
27
40.00-30.3%
1
37
41.00-28.6%
0
17
42.00-26.8%
2
111
43.00-25.1%
0
47
44.00-23.4%
0
109
45.00-21.6%
34
211
46.00-19.9%
127
36
47.00-18.1%
175
1857
48.00-16.4%
114
386
49.00-14.6%
46
225
50.00-12.9%
198
1693
55.00-4.2%
10486
461
60.004.5%
4710
0
65.0013.2%
691
0
70.0021.9%
26
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.25× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.38 21 Aug 22d
0.33 18 Sep 50d
0.32 20 Nov 113d
0.35 18 Dec 141d
0.32 15 Jan 169d
0.36 19 Feb 204d
0.31 19 Mar 232d
0.36 17 Jun 322d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

46
47
48
49
50
55
60
65
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A99/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
241 / 241
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

87/100
Primary intent Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

Call concentration and the underlying trend align, but aggregate volume cannot establish whether calls were bought or sold.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $4.3M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+24
1W price-1.0%
Call premium89%
Put premium11%
Notional split C 89% / P 11% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.10 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 72/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 2520 contracts traded, $3.6M estimated gross traded notional, and 84% of visible notional.
$3.6M
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 328 contracts traded, $199093 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$199093
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 894 contracts traded, $170104 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$170104
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 542 contracts traded, $102745 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$102745
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 1122 contracts traded, $98750 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$98750

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close57.41
1W-1.0%
RS11.2
Fair value+46.9%
Options pressure24
Speculation42
Volatility50
Trend fit72

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.7% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.38 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.71 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.10 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:10 Bearish
Pressure -47
Move 7.2%
30 Jul 00:38 Bullish
Pressure 49
Move 6.1%
30 Jul 17:30 Bullish
Pressure 24
Move 5.7%
30 Jul 18:06 Bullish
Pressure 24
Move 5.7%
30 Jul 18:47 Bullish
Pressure 24
Move 5.7%
30 Jul 22:39 Bullish
Pressure 24
Move 5.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 2
Strike30.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 30
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 13
Strike40.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 1
Puts · V 1 · OI 27
Strike41.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 13 · OI 37
Strike42.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 2
Puts · V 1 · OI 17
Strike43.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 15 · OI 111
Strike44.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 47

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.81
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts29
Avg IV0.33
Put-call3.95
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.32
Put-call2.66
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.35
Put-call0.10
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts34
Avg IV0.32
Put-call0.91

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.29
Skew-0.02
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.27
Put IV0.27
Skew-0.01
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.29
Skew-0.03
18 Dec 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.02
Skew-0.30
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.29
Skew-0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractFITB260918C00035000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike35.00
Volume-
OI100
IV0.00
ContractFITB261218C00038000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike38.00
Volume-
OI100
IV0.51
ContractFITB261218C00033000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike33.00
Volume-
OI91
IV0.00
ContractFITB261218C00035000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike35.00
Volume-
OI40
IV0.00
ContractFITB270319C00080000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI30
IV0.33
ContractFITB270319P00070000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI27
IV0.52
ContractFITB270219C00075000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.31
ContractFITB261218P00030000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike30.00
Volume-
OI11
IV0.66