Ticker Options Intelligence

KLAR options intelligence

Klarna Group plc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 47 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 07:35 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

KLAR currently carries bullish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 6.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.54

Call-side skew

Trend fit 66

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +9.1%

Sharemaestro weekly context

Expected move 6.5%
Put-call volume 0.54
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.60
Max pain 19.00
Underlying 18.94
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 588

Research Brief

KLAR has a bullish chain read with 47/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 17.72–20.16; The largest call open-interest concentration is 19.00; the largest put concentration is 16.00. The most active strike by current volume is 19.00.

Priced range17.72–20.16
Call concentration19.00
Put concentration16.00
Max pain reference19.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 17.72 to 20.16. Max pain at 19.00 sits inside that range, 0.3% above spot.

Spot Max pain
17.7218.94 ± 1.2220.16
Confirmation level

A close beyond 20.16 or below 17.72 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 47/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 34/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure34 × 42%
+14.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement66 × 26%
+17.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility68 × 10%
+6.8

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score47.2Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 19.00; the largest put concentration is 16.00. The most active strike by current volume is 19.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
10.00-47.2%
102
201
15.50-18.2%
0
762
16.00-15.5%
0
198
16.50-12.9%
30
226
17.00-10.2%
22
188
17.50-7.6%
57
130
18.00-5.0%
177
8
18.50-2.3%
234
222
19.000.3%
300
81
19.503.0%
108
6
20.005.6%
163
4
20.508.2%
123
12
21.0010.9%
120
6
21.5013.5%
147
605
22.0016.2%
39
96
22.5018.8%
157
37
23.0021.4%
56
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.90× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.60 7 Aug 7d
0.61 14 Aug 14d
0.89 21 Aug 21d
0.84 28 Aug 28d
0.79 4 Sep 35d
0.76 11 Sep 42d
0.76 18 Sep 49d
0.71 16 Oct 77d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

16
16
17
17
18
18
19
19
20
20
21
21
22
22
23
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
588 / 588
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

83/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $301186 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 0-7 days · atm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+34
1W price+9.1%
Call premium73%
Put premium27%
Notional split C 73% / P 27% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 66/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 0-7 days · ATM
Calls · 0-7 days · ATM calls cluster with 997 contracts traded, $59850 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$59850
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 614 contracts traded, $53365 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$53365
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 466 contracts traded, $45580 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$45580
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 39 contracts traded, $29025 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$29025
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 54 contracts traded, $18580 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$18580

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close18.94
1W+9.1%
RS-
Fair value-21.3%
Options pressure34
Speculation41
Volatility68
Trend fit66

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.5% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.60 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.54 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:34 Volatility
Pressure 26
Move 9.1%
30 Jul 10:32 Bullish
Pressure 63
Move 3.8%
31 Jul 10:22 Bullish
Pressure 59
Move 3.5%
2 Aug 06:35 Bullish
Pressure 34
Move 6.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike9.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 80
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 102
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike11.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 20
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike12.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike13.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike13.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike14.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 2

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts82
Avg IV0.60
Put-call0.44
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts82
Avg IV0.61
Put-call1.93
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV0.89
Put-call0.03
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV0.84
Put-call0.18
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV0.79
Put-call0.67

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.60
Put IV0.60
Skew-
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.65
Put IV0.63
Skew-0.02
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.89
Put IV0.90
Skew0.01
28 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.92
Put IV0.85
Skew-0.07
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.80
Put IV0.77
Skew-0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractKLAR260807C00019000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike19.00
Volume996
OI300
IV0.59
ContractKLAR260918C00022500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike22.50
Volume315
OI733
IV0.75
ContractKLAR260807P00016500
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike16.50
Volume305
OI198
IV0.49
ContractKLAR260918P00017500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike17.50
Volume266
OI3566
IV0.75
ContractKLAR260918C00025000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike25.00
Volume212
OI2106
IV0.75
ContractKLAR260918P00015000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume200
OI1666
IV0.79
ContractKLAR260807C00020500
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike20.50
Volume164
OI123
IV0.60
ContractKLAR260807P00017500
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume136
OI188
IV0.65