Primary read
Bullish
Call-side pressure
Ticker Options Intelligence
APTV options intelligence
Aptiv PLC options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
40
Market data through 31 Jul 2026
Checked 2 Aug 2026 02:12 · complete available chain
Call-side pressure
Bullish pressure
APTV currently carries bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 10.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.
Expected move
10.6%
Wider near-term move priced
Activity / OI
0.01
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
0.53
Call-side skew
Trend fit
24
Options are not fully confirming trend
Weekly backdrop
-0.1%
RS -28.7
Expected move
10.6%
Put-call volume
0.53
Volume / OI
0.01
Reference IV
0.53
Max pain
55.00
Underlying
56.47
Nearest expiry
21 Aug 2026
Contracts
262
Research Brief
APTV has a bullish chain read with 40/100 evidence alignment.
The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 50.47–62.47; The largest call open-interest concentration is 70.00; the largest put concentration is 50.00. The most active strike by current volume is 55.00.
Priced range50.47–62.47
Call concentration70.00
Put concentration50.00
Max pain reference55.00
- Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
- Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
- Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
Priced Move
Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional
Options imply 50.47 to 62.47. Max pain at 55.00 sits inside that range, 2.6% below spot.
Spot
Max pain
50.4756.47 ± 6.0062.47
Confirmation level
A close beyond 62.47 or below 50.47 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.
Important limitation
The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.
Score Construction
Why conviction is 40/100
Pressure is 41/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.
Directional pressure41 × 42%
+17.1
How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.
Participation40 × 22%
+8.8
Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.
Trend agreement24 × 26%
+6.2
How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.
Volatility77 × 10%
+7.7
The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.
Positioning by Strike
Where open interest and current activity concentrate
The largest call open-interest concentration is 70.00; the largest put concentration is 50.00. The most active strike by current volume is 55.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.
Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
182
40.00-29.2%
1
275
42.50-24.7%
0
23
45.00-20.3%
3
73
47.50-15.9%
0
1263
50.00-11.5%
183
307
52.50-7.0%
7
184
55.00-2.6%
1372
372
57.501.8%
223
589
60.006.3%
818
54
62.5010.7%
392
16
65.0015.1%
638
19
67.5019.5%
64
19
70.0024.0%
2082
1
75.0032.8%
144
0
80.0041.7%
638
0
85.0050.5%
715
5
90.0059.4%
90
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry
Volatility Curve
Balanced volatility curve
Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.
0.53
21 Aug
21d
0.49
18 Sep
49d
0.49
20 Nov
112d
0.48
15 Jan
168d
0.49
19 Feb
203d
Volatility by Strike
Balanced wings
Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.
48
50
53
55
58
60
63
65
68
Put IV Call IV
Historical Replay
How matured reads behaved through expiry
Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.
Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
- Versioned calculationv2 observations only
- Independent entryone read per market session
- Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
- Matched expiry closereported only after maturity
Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
High
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
- Chain status
- Complete available chain
- Market date
- 31 Jul 2026
- Calculation
- v2.0
- Contracts
- 262 / 262
- No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.
Options Intent Radar
Earnings/event positioning
Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.
Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.
Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $102322 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+41
1W price-0.1%
Call premium85%
Put premium15%
Notional split
C 85% / P 15%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.01
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
24/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window
4 Aug
Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Calls · 91+ days · OTM
calls cluster with 133 contracts traded, $73542 estimated gross traded notional, and 72% of visible notional.
$73542
Calls · 91+ days · ITM
calls cluster with 11 contracts traded, $12100 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$12100
Puts · 91+ days · OTM
puts cluster with 27 contracts traded, $6685 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$6685
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM
puts cluster with 28 contracts traded, $3292 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$3292
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM
puts cluster with 22 contracts traded, $2362 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$2362
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.
Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.
Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.
Activity Anomaly
Warming up
3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.
Baseline: 3 completed sessions
Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close56.47
1W-0.1%
RS-28.7
Fair value-22.7%
Options pressure41
Speculation40
Volatility77
Trend fit24
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 10:23
Bullish
Pressure 54
Move 13.5%
30 Jul 09:52
Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 11.9%
30 Jul 15:22
Bullish
Pressure 59
Move 11.5%
30 Jul 15:42
Bullish
Pressure 63
Move 11.8%
30 Jul 19:36
Bullish
Pressure 52
Move 11.2%
31 Jul 06:01
Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 11.3%
31 Jul 14:04
Bullish
Pressure 51
Move 12.0%
1 Aug 09:52
Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 10.6%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 3
Strike32.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 8
Strike37.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 16
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 182
Strike42.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 275
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 23
Strike47.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 4 · OI 73
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV0.53
Put-call1.88
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.49
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.49
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts58
Avg IV0.48
Put-call1.69
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts58
Avg IV0.49
Put-call-
Skew
Call/put IV balance
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.57
Put IV0.49
Skew-0.08
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.51
Put IV0.51
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.49
Put IV0.49
Skew-
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.51
Put IV0.48
Skew-0.03
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.54
Put IV0.49
Skew-0.05
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractAPTV270219C00065000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike65.00
Volume100
OI1168
IV0.51
ContractAPTV260918P00047500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike47.50
Volume20
OI59
IV0.52
ContractAPTV270115P00045000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike45.00
Volume20
OI33
IV0.48
ContractAPTV270219C00060000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike60.00
Volume12
OI317
IV0.50
ContractAPTV260821P00055000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike55.00
Volume12
OI184
IV0.48
ContractAPTV270115C00080000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike80.00
Volume10
OI3785
IV0.50
ContractAPTV270115C00070000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike70.00
Volume6
OI3648
IV0.50
ContractAPTV260821C00065000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike65.00
Volume6
OI638
IV0.58
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
Market Watch
No recent market-watch posts yet.
Earnings
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.