Ticker Options Intelligence

ASRV options intelligence

AmeriServ Financial Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 54 Market data through 6 Aug 2026 Checked 7 Aug 2026 12:47 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ASRV currently carries volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 16.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.27.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 16.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.27

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 1

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +8.4%

RS 25.2

Expected move 16.1%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.27
Reference IV 0.80
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 4.57
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 24

Research Brief

ASRV has a volatility chain read with 54/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 3.83–5.31; The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range3.83–5.31
Call concentration5.00
Put concentration5.00
Max pain reference5.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 3.83 to 5.31. Max pain at 5.00 sits inside that range, 9.4% above spot.

Spot Max pain
3.834.57 ± 0.745.31
Confirmation level

A close beyond 5.31 or below 3.83 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 54/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation9 × 22%
+1.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement1 × 26%
+0.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score53.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-45.3%
0
3
5.009.4%
53
0
7.5064.1%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 83% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$1,513Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak5.00+$1,381
Negative peak-No negative strike
Nearest balance-Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.50-45.3%
+$131
5.009.4%
+$1,381
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.59× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.80 21 Aug 15d
0.48 18 Sep 43d
0.56 18 Dec 134d
0.50 19 Mar 225d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

5
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
6 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
24 / 24
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

92/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $22,785 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+8.4%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.27 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 1/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 98 contracts traded, $22,785 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$22,785

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

7 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 7 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close4.92
1W+8.4%
RS25.2
Fair value+73.9%
Options pressure100
Speculation9
Volatility96
Trend fit1

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 16.1% history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -
IV 0.80 history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.27 history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:48 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 20.3%
30 Jul 11:25 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 17.8%
30 Jul 17:37 Volatility
Pressure -53
Move 31.3%
30 Jul 18:36 Volatility
Pressure -53
Move 31.3%
31 Jul 02:27 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 17.6%
31 Jul 13:47 Bearish
Pressure -53
Move 31.3%
2 Aug 23:31 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 17.2%
4 Aug 10:50 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 15.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 53
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV0.80
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV0.48
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV0.56
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV0.50
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.17
Put IV1.62
Skew1.45
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.09
Put IV0.96
Skew0.87
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.55
Skew0.20
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.02
Put IV0.43
Skew0.41

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractASRV261218C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike2.50
Volume98
OI302
IV0.52
ContractASRV260821C00005000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI53
IV0.17
ContractASRV260918C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI4
IV0.01
ContractASRV260821P00005000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI3
IV0.01
ContractASRV270319C00002500
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI1
IV1.63
ContractASRV270319C00005000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.02
ContractASRV260918P00005000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.01
ContractASRV260918C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.64