Ticker Options Intelligence

PNC options intelligence

PNC Financial Services Group Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 45 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 10:34 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

PNC currently carries bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 2.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 2.4%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.34

Put-side skew

Trend fit 67

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.1%

RS 10.9

Expected move 2.4%
Put-call volume 2.34
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.21
Max pain 252.50
Underlying 250.99
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 1262

Research Brief

PNC has a bearish chain read with 45/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 244.89–257.09; The largest call open-interest concentration is 265.00; the largest put concentration is 252.50. The most active strike by current volume is 260.00.

Priced range244.89–257.09
Call concentration265.00
Put concentration252.50
Max pain reference252.50
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 244.89 to 257.09. Max pain at 252.50 sits inside that range, 0.6% above spot.

Spot Max pain
244.89250.99 ± 6.10257.09
Confirmation level

A close beyond 257.09 or below 244.89 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 45/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 38/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure38 × 42%
+15.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement67 × 26%
+17.4

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility25 × 10%
+2.5

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 265.00; the largest put concentration is 252.50. The most active strike by current volume is 260.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
9
125.00-50.2%
0
16
130.00-48.2%
0
6
135.00-46.2%
0
11
140.00-44.2%
0
18
145.00-42.2%
0
10
235.00-6.4%
0
19
237.50-5.4%
0
21
240.00-4.4%
0
17
245.00-2.4%
3
2
247.50-1.4%
11
11
250.00-0.4%
23
76
252.500.6%
11
1
255.001.6%
35
0
260.003.6%
88
0
265.005.6%
243
0
267.506.6%
22
0
270.007.6%
25
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.84× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.21 7 Aug 7d
0.22 14 Aug 14d
0.21 21 Aug 21d
0.22 28 Aug 28d
0.22 4 Sep 35d
0.21 11 Sep 42d
0.22 18 Sep 49d
0.25 16 Oct 77d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

205
215
220
225
230
235
238
240
245
250
253
255
260
265
268
270
275
280
285
290
300
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1262 / 1262
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

70/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow before price confirmation

Put-side pressure is present before a decisive weekly price breakdown.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $305048 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bearish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-38
1W price+0.1%
Call premium45%
Put premium55%
Notional split C 45% / P 55% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 67/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 46 contracts traded, $47062 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$47062
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 30 contracts traded, $44835 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$44835
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 251 contracts traded, $44552 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$44552
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 237 contracts traded, $34970 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$34970
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 76 contracts traded, $33865 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$33865

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close250.99
1W+0.1%
RS10.9
Fair value+45.2%
Options pressure-38
Speculation41
Volatility25
Trend fit67

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 2.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.21 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.34 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:03 Mixed
Pressure -9
Move 2.0%
30 Jul 06:07 Mixed
Pressure -5
Move 1.9%
30 Jul 19:49 Bullish
Pressure 51
Move 1.1%
31 Jul 19:05 Bullish
Pressure 51
Move 0.4%
31 Jul 19:51 Bullish
Pressure 49
Move 0.4%
31 Jul 20:40 Bullish
Pressure 45
Move 0.3%
1 Aug 09:34 Bearish
Pressure -38
Move 2.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike125.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 18 · OI 9
Strike130.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 28 · OI 16
Strike135.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 26 · OI 6
Strike140.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 24 · OI 11
Strike145.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 21 · OI 18
Strike150.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 4 · OI 3
Strike155.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 1
Strike160.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 2

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts104
Avg IV0.21
Put-call0.92
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts100
Avg IV0.22
Put-call2.95
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts110
Avg IV0.21
Put-call2.64
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts80
Avg IV0.22
Put-call-
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts80
Avg IV0.22
Put-call22.82

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.23
Skew0.04
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.22
Skew0.01
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.23
Skew0.02
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.23
Skew-
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.23
Skew0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractPNC260904P00235000
SidePut
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Strike235.00
Volume251
OI-
IV0.23
ContractPNC260821P00240000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike240.00
Volume179
OI1067
IV0.23
ContractPNC260918P00220000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike220.00
Volume110
OI110
IV0.27
ContractPNC260807C00260000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike260.00
Volume100
OI88
IV0.22
ContractPNC260814P00237500
SidePut
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike237.50
Volume55
OI6
IV0.24
ContractPNC260807C00252500
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike252.50
Volume42
OI11
IV0.22
ContractPNC260821C00250000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike250.00
Volume29
OI759
IV0.21
ContractPNC260807P00250000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike250.00
Volume29
OI11
IV0.23