Ticker Options Intelligence

TKR options intelligence

Timken Company options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 52 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 29 Jul 2026 22:00 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

TKR currently carries volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 11.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.13.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 11.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.13

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.23

Call-side skew

Trend fit 34

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +2.6%

RS 34.8

Expected move 11.3%
Put-call volume 0.23
Volume / OI 0.13
Reference IV 0.55
Max pain 130.00
Underlying 141.30
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 175

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

79/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $879629 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+72
1W price+2.6%
Call premium91%
Put premium9%
Notional split C 91% / P 9% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.13 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 34/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 29 Jul Matched earnings event is 0 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 85 contracts traded, $348340 estimated gross traded notional, and 40% of visible notional.
$348340
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 639 contracts traded, $335258 estimated gross traded notional, and 38% of visible notional.
$335258
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 35 contracts traded, $39390 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$39390
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 21 contracts traded, $36967 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$36967
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 44 contracts traded, $31450 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$31450

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

100

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close141.30
1W+2.6%
RS34.8
Fair value+70.0%
Options pressure72
Speculation22
Volatility79
Trend fit34

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 11.3% elevated
30d avg 10.8% · 1 read 100th
90d avg 10.8% · 1 read 100th
180d avg 10.8% · 1 read 100th
IV 0.55 elevated
30d avg 0.53 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.53 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.53 · 1 read 100th
Put-call 0.23 muted
30d avg 0.45 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.45 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.45 · 1 read 0th
Volume/OI 0.13 elevated
30d avg 0.01 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.01 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.01 · 1 read 100th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:30 Bullish
Pressure 47
Move 10.8%
29 Jul 21:00 Volatility
Pressure 72
Move 11.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 6
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 30
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 7
Strike90.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 24
Puts · V 1 · OI 0
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 1 · OI 7
Strike100.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts41
Avg IV0.55
Put-call0.86
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts37
Avg IV0.53
Put-call0.20
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts42
Avg IV0.55
Put-call0.02
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts41
Avg IV0.43
Put-call0.39
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts14
Avg IV0.48
Put-call1.50

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.56
Put IV0.61
Skew0.05
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.58
Put IV0.52
Skew-0.05
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.51
Put IV0.46
Skew-0.05
18 Dec 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.50
Put IV0.01
Skew-0.49
19 Mar 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.49
Put IV0.41
Skew-0.08

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractTKR270319C00110000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike110.00
Volume-
OI45
IV0.54
ContractTKR270319C00085000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI34
IV0.57
ContractTKR260821C00070000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI30
IV0.00
ContractTKR270319C00090000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike90.00
Volume-
OI4
IV0.55
ContractTKR270319C00100000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike100.00
Volume-
OI3
IV0.53
ContractTKR261120C00070000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.76
ContractTKR261120C00210000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike210.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.54
ContractTKR260918P00060000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike60.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.33