Ticker Options Intelligence

JCI options intelligence

Johnson Controls International PLC options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 48 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:01 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

JCI currently carries bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 6.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.76

Put-side skew

Trend fit 66

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +2.1%

RS 6.8

Expected move 6.6%
Put-call volume 2.76
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.34
Max pain 140.00
Underlying 143.37
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 500

Research Brief

JCI has a bearish chain read with 48/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 133.92–152.82; The largest call open-interest concentration is 155.00; the largest put concentration is 120.00. The most active strike by current volume is 145.00.

Priced range133.92–152.82
Call concentration155.00
Put concentration120.00
Max pain reference140.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 133.92 to 152.82. Max pain at 140.00 sits inside that range, 2.4% below spot.

Spot Max pain
133.92143.37 ± 9.45152.82
Confirmation level

A close beyond 152.82 or below 133.92 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 48/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 41/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure41 × 42%
+17.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement66 × 26%
+17.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility50 × 10%
+5.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score48.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 155.00; the largest put concentration is 120.00. The most active strike by current volume is 145.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
90.00-37.2%
0
9
110.00-23.3%
0
746
115.00-19.8%
0
5697
120.00-16.3%
2
355
125.00-12.8%
6
1537
130.00-9.3%
282
2772
135.00-5.8%
345
968
140.00-2.4%
1261
260
145.001.1%
843
45
150.004.6%
7188
1
155.008.1%
8269
0
160.0011.6%
415
0
165.0015.1%
609
0
170.0018.6%
17
0
175.0022.1%
45
0
180.0025.5%
39
0
185.0029.0%
16
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.94× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.34 21 Aug 22d
0.34 18 Sep 50d
0.34 16 Oct 78d
0.35 18 Dec 141d
0.35 15 Jan 169d
0.36 19 Mar 232d
0.36 17 Jun 322d
0.36 21 Jan 540d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
500 / 500
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

73/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow against rising price

Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $701762 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · otm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-41
1W price+2.1%
Call premium38%
Put premium62%
Notional split C 38% / P 62% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 66/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · OTM
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 1736 contracts traded, $409338 estimated gross traded notional, and 58% of visible notional.
$409338
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 337 contracts traded, $150640 estimated gross traded notional, and 21% of visible notional.
$150640
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 161 contracts traded, $49538 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$49538
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $19975 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$19975
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 17 contracts traded, $17425 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$17425

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close143.37
1W+2.1%
RS6.8
Fair value+62.4%
Options pressure-41
Speculation41
Volatility50
Trend fit66

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.6% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.34 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.76 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:04 Volatility
Pressure 63
Move 9.7%
30 Jul 10:02 Bullish
Pressure 54
Move 7.5%
31 Jul 10:01 Bearish
Pressure -41
Move 6.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike110.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 9
Strike115.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 746
Strike120.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 27 · OI 5697
Strike125.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 9 · OI 355

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.34
Put-call0.22
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.34
Put-call0.62
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.34
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts62
Avg IV0.35
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts90
Avg IV0.35
Put-call0.22

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.36
Skew0.05
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.34
Skew0.01
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.36
Skew0.03
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.35
Put IV0.38
Skew0.03
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.34
Put IV0.37
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractJCI261016P00125000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike125.00
Volume1630
OI133
IV0.37
ContractJCI260821C00145000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike145.00
Volume329
OI843
IV0.34
ContractJCI260918C00155000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike155.00
Volume129
OI344
IV0.35
ContractJCI260821C00155000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike155.00
Volume73
OI8269
IV0.31
ContractJCI260918P00115000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike115.00
Volume53
OI1004
IV0.40
ContractJCI260918P00130000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike130.00
Volume49
OI323
IV0.37
ContractJCI260821P00130000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike130.00
Volume37
OI1537
IV0.32
ContractJCI260821C00160000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike160.00
Volume29
OI415
IV0.34