Ticker Options Intelligence

ADUS options intelligence

Addus HomeCare Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 62 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 16:13 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ADUS currently carries volatility options pressure with a 62/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 8.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.72.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 8.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.72

Current volume is elevated versus prior open interest

Put-call 7.17

Put-side skew

Trend fit 47

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.8%

RS -1.7

Expected move 8.6%
Put-call volume 7.17
Volume / OI 0.72
Reference IV 0.65
Max pain 115.00
Underlying 114.55
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 34

Research Brief

ADUS has a volatility chain read with 62/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 104.70–124.40; The largest call open-interest concentration is 100.00; the largest put concentration is 115.00. The most active strike by current volume is 115.00.

Priced range104.70–124.40
Call concentration100.00
Put concentration115.00
Max pain reference115.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 104.70 to 124.40. Max pain at 115.00 sits inside that range, 0.4% above spot.

Spot Max pain
104.70114.55 ± 9.85124.40
Confirmation level

A close beyond 124.40 or below 104.70 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 62/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 86/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure86 × 42%
+36.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation25 × 22%
+5.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement47 × 26%
+12.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility80 × 10%
+8.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score61.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 100.00; the largest put concentration is 115.00. The most active strike by current volume is 115.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
90.00-21.4%
0
0
100.00-12.7%
20
0
110.00-4.0%
4
501
115.000.4%
3
0
120.004.8%
5
0
125.009.1%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.73× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.65 21 Aug 21d
0.49 16 Oct 77d
0.38 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

100
110
115
120
125
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A95/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes97%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
34 / 34
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

92/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $293145 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · atm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-86
1W price+0.8%
Call premium20%
Put premium80%
Notional split C 20% / P 80% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.72 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 47/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 3 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · ATM
Puts · 8-21 days · ATM puts cluster with 501 contracts traded, $230460 estimated gross traded notional, and 79% of visible notional.
$230460
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 35 contracts traded, $20540 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$20540
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $15090 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$15090
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $10125 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$10125
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $7250 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$7250

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Speculative chase

Participation is active enough to treat follow-through risk carefully.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close115.48
1W+0.8%
RS-1.7
Fair value+7.9%
Options pressure-86
Speculation25
Volatility80
Trend fit47

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 8.6% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.65 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 7.17 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.72 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:04 Bullish
Pressure 98
Move 7.8%
30 Jul 10:52 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 7.8%
31 Jul 11:07 Bearish
Pressure -89
Move 8.2%
31 Jul 15:13 Volatility
Pressure -86
Move 8.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike90.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 20
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike110.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike115.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 3
Puts · V 501 · OI 501
Strike120.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike125.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts7
Avg IV0.65
Put-call62.63
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts19
Avg IV0.49
Put-call0.26
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts8
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.05

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.66
Put IV-
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.42
Put IV1.06
Skew0.64
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.34
Put IV0.44
Skew0.10

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractADUS261016C00075000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI33
IV0.00
ContractADUS270115C00105000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike105.00
Volume-
OI21
IV0.39
ContractADUS260821C00100000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike100.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.84
ContractADUS261016C00070000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI7
IV0.00
ContractADUS261016P00110000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike110.00
Volume-
OI2
IV1.06
ContractADUS261016P00075000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.84
ContractADUS260821C00125000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike125.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.53
ContractADUS261016C00140000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike140.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.59