Ticker Options Intelligence

CENX options intelligence

Century Aluminum Company options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 37 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 02:06 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CENX currently carries bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 15.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 15.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.43

Call-side skew

Trend fit 18

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +11.3%

RS 0.5

Expected move 15.0%
Put-call volume 0.43
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.81
Max pain 50.00
Underlying 46.21
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 332

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

82/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $166689 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 22-45 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+46
1W price+11.3%
Call premium47%
Put premium53%
Notional split C 47% / P 53% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 18/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 7 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 22-45 days · ITM
Puts · 22-45 days · ITM puts cluster with 28 contracts traded, $34560 estimated gross traded notional, and 21% of visible notional.
$34560
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 25 contracts traded, $33730 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$33730
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 24 contracts traded, $27310 estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$27310
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 71 contracts traded, $21745 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$21745
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 66 contracts traded, $17288 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$17288

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

33

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Volume rank0th
Volume/OI rank0th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close46.21
1W+11.3%
RS0.5
Fair value+91.7%
Options pressure46
Speculation16
Volatility96
Trend fit18

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 15.0% muted
30d avg 15.7% · 1 read 0th
90d avg 15.7% · 1 read 0th
180d avg 15.7% · 1 read 0th
IV 0.81 elevated
30d avg 0.76 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.76 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.76 · 1 read 100th
Put-call 0.43 muted
30d avg 0.47 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.47 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.47 · 1 read 0th
Volume/OI 0.01 muted
30d avg 0.01 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.01 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.01 · 1 read 0th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:34 Bullish
Pressure 43
Move 15.7%
30 Jul 01:06 Bullish
Pressure 46
Move 15.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 14
Puts · V 2 · OI 266
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 17
Puts · V 1 · OI 489
Strike40.00
Calls · V 22 · OI 78
Puts · V 15 · OI 436
Strike45.00
Calls · V 49 · OI 699
Puts · V 10 · OI 558
Strike50.00
Calls · V 6 · OI 597
Puts · V 4 · OI 1004
Strike55.00
Calls · V 8 · OI 601
Puts · V 24 · OI 313
Strike60.00
Calls · V 16 · OI 919
Puts · V 0 · OI 55

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.81
Put-call0.54
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts72
Avg IV0.77
Put-call2.27
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.75
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.76
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.75
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.82
Put IV0.81
Skew-0.02
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.75
Put IV0.81
Skew0.06
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.73
Put IV0.80
Skew0.07
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.76
Put IV0.75
Skew-0.01
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.73
Put IV0.77
Skew0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCENX260821C00045000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike45.00
Volume49
OI699
IV0.77
ContractCENX270115C00080000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike80.00
Volume34
OI144
IV0.73
ContractCENX260821P00055000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike55.00
Volume24
OI313
IV0.90
ContractCENX260918P00055000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike55.00
Volume24
OI46
IV0.81
ContractCENX260821C00040000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume22
OI78
IV0.75
ContractCENX260821C00060000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike60.00
Volume16
OI919
IV0.99
ContractCENX260821P00040000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume15
OI436
IV0.81
ContractCENX270115C00040000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike40.00
Volume12
OI219
IV0.70