CENX NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Century Aluminum Company · Basic Materials · Aluminum

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Latest close 46.21 USD
11.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.3%, after a -0.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 7d.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 46.21 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 11.3% latest completed week
4W Return -0.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -21.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 92.3% 48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 11.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.3%. Indicator stack 51/23 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 37/100 conviction; expected move 15.7%. News sentiment 57/100 73 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 7d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.3%, after a -0.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5312-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.53Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.3% over four weeks, -21.7% over 12 weeks, and 101.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W11.3%
4W-0.3%
12W-21.7%
26W-5.1%
52W101.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-67.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength69/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth88/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework61/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
12.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
13.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
18.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
192.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
143.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

CENX shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.47, expected move of 15.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction37/100
Expected move15.7%
Put/call volume0.47
Pressure43
Speculation18
Volatility93
Trend agreement21
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 2

5 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 73 relevant articles.

27 positive · 38 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings7dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.0%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-15.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+11.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.4% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape40/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis45/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.53; 3 reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 41; Small Cap Core rank 73 SVQF61/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 286.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

CENX shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.47, expected move of 15.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 15.7% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 73 relevant articles.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick visits Century Aluminum Mt. Holly, Celebrate Expansion with South Carolina Leaders Insiders5 / 2

5 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings7d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202646.21 USD11.3%53.05 USD24.11 USD-1.210.5410.0MOff
17 Jul 202641.50 USD-7.1%52.85 USD23.87 USD-1.16-10.468.4MOff
10 Jul 202644.67 USD2.1%52.68 USD23.66 USD-1.08-7.008.8MOff
3 Jul 202643.76 USD-5.5%52.24 USD23.43 USD-0.92-6.599.6MOff
26 Jun 202646.33 USD-10.4%51.82 USD23.21 USD-0.720.5518.0MOn
19 Jun 202651.71 USD-15.5%51.27 USD22.97 USD-0.468.2213.1MOn
12 Jun 202661.19 USD1.8%50.45 USD22.69 USD-0.1632.978.5MOn
5 Jun 202660.12 USD-8.9%49.37 USD22.36 USD-0.1535.6510.0MOn
29 May 202665.97 USD1.4%48.47 USD22.03 USD-0.1044.278.1MOn
22 May 202665.05 USD14.5%47.26 USD21.66 USD-0.2049.138.4MOn
15 May 202656.82 USD-3.5%46.11 USD21.30 USD-0.2434.389.3MOn
8 May 202658.91 USD-0.1%45.30 USD20.98 USD0.0041.098.7MOn
1 May 202658.98 USD-2.9%44.35 USD20.65 USD0.2851.524.3MOn
24 Apr 202660.74 USD-2.4%43.38 USD20.33 USD0.6361.245.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.