KALU NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation · Basic Materials · Aluminum

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Latest close 163.2 USD
3.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a -12.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 84d.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 163.2 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.9% latest completed week
4W Return -12.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 57-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.49% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -12.4%. Indicator stack 100/28 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.49% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 50/100 conviction; expected move 9.2%. News sentiment 56/100 77 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 84d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a -12.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8812-week average 0.89

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.88Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.4% over four weeks, -6.1% over 12 weeks, and 100.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 57 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.9%
4W-12.4%
12W-6.1%
26W28.6%
52W100.4%
Active trend streak57 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-156.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership24.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-42.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality30/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Momentum95/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework70/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
11.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
6.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
32.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
255.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-16.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

KALU shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 9.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move9.2%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation2
Volatility69
Trend agreement1
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.

27 positive · 38 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.4%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+3.9%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape68/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis79/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.88; 12 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.49%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.49% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors72/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 6; Buyback Yield rank 58; Small Cap Core rank 27 SVQF70/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 217.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

KALU shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 9.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 9.2% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.

Did Stronger Q2 Earnings and Steady Dividend Just Shift Kaiser Aluminum's (KALU) Investment Narrative? Insiders12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings84d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026163.2 USD3.9%149.4 USD87.45 USD-0.5024.091.5MOn
17 Jul 2026157.0 USD-1.3%147.9 USD86.86 USD0.0218.641.1MOn
10 Jul 2026159.1 USD-9.3%146.4 USD86.31 USD0.4316.051.2MOn
3 Jul 2026175.4 USD-5.8%144.7 USD85.72 USD0.8131.101.2MOn
26 Jun 2026186.3 USD2.4%142.3 USD85.01 USD0.9041.802.6MOn
19 Jun 2026181.9 USD-4.6%139.2 USD84.23 USD0.8033.871.1MOn
12 Jun 2026190.6 USD7.8%136.2 USD83.45 USD0.7945.691.0MOn
5 Jun 2026176.9 USD-2.8%132.8 USD82.64 USD0.7040.141.0MOn
29 May 2026182.0 USD3.7%130.1 USD81.89 USD0.7739.321.1MOn
22 May 2026175.5 USD3.7%127.0 USD81.11 USD0.8139.851.1MOn
15 May 2026169.3 USD-6.1%124.3 USD80.35 USD0.9338.251.0MOn
8 May 2026180.3 USD3.8%121.2 USD79.63 USD0.8348.491.2MOn
1 May 2026173.7 USD-2.3%117.7 USD78.82 USD0.5552.951.6MOn
24 Apr 2026177.9 USD20.4%114.5 USD78.07 USD0.2061.222.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.