CSTM NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Constellium Nv · Basic Materials · Aluminum

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Latest close 27.78 USD
-4.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -5.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 27.78 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.4% latest completed week
4W Return -5.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -18.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 60-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.8%. Indicator stack 100/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 50/100 conviction; expected move 10.5%. News sentiment 58/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -5.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7212-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.8% over four weeks, -18.0% over 12 weeks, and 110.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 60 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.4%
4W-5.8%
12W-18.0%
26W23.6%
52W110.1%
Active trend streak60 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-608.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-49.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality76/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
14.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
13.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
16.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
25.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
479.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
27.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CSTM shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move10.5%
Put/call volume0.39
Pressure52
Speculation41
Volatility79
Trend agreement44
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

25 positive · 27 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.2%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-9.1%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-4.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape54/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis71/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.72; 9 reversal markers Factors89/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17; Small Cap Core rank 13 SVQF85/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 152.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

CSTM shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.5% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Constellium vs. Ryerson: Which Stock Has More Upside Potential Now? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202627.78 USD-4.4%28.15 USD18.07 USD-1.2512.2510.1MOn
24 Jul 202629.05 USD3.3%27.88 USD18.01 USD-1.2719.769.1MOn
17 Jul 202628.12 USD-4.0%27.54 USD17.95 USD-0.8916.457.7MOn
10 Jul 202629.28 USD-0.7%27.23 USD17.88 USD-0.4020.527.4MOn
3 Jul 202629.49 USD-7.2%26.87 USD17.81 USD0.2524.227.9MOn
26 Jun 202631.78 USD-6.5%26.48 USD17.73 USD0.8838.1113.0MOn
19 Jun 202634.00 USD-4.5%25.98 USD17.63 USD1.1546.176.9MOn
12 Jun 202635.60 USD5.0%25.36 USD17.52 USD1.3356.758.4MOn
5 Jun 202633.89 USD-1.1%24.68 USD17.40 USD1.2252.4511.7MOn
29 May 202634.26 USD3.1%24.08 USD17.28 USD1.2452.6012.6MOn
22 May 202633.24 USD4.2%23.46 USD17.16 USD1.2752.6311.0MOn
15 May 202631.91 USD-5.8%22.92 USD17.05 USD1.1950.208.5MOn
8 May 202633.88 USD5.8%22.37 USD16.95 USD1.2362.3210.9MOn
1 May 202632.01 USD2.0%21.72 USD16.82 USD1.1359.7615.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.