Primary read
Bullish
Call-side pressure
Ticker Options Intelligence
USAR options intelligence
USA Rare Earth, Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
36
Market data through 29 Jul 2026
Checked 30 Jul 2026 03:43 · complete available chain
Call-side pressure
Bullish pressure
USAR currently carries bullish options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 8.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.06.
Expected move
8.8%
Wider near-term move priced
Activity / OI
0.06
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
0.66
Call-side skew
Trend fit
29
Options are not fully confirming trend
Weekly backdrop
-9.6%
RS -31.6
Expected move
8.8%
Put-call volume
0.66
Volume / OI
0.06
Reference IV
1.30
Max pain
15.00
Underlying
14.15
Nearest expiry
31 Jul 2026
Contracts
754
Options Intent Radar
Earnings/event positioning
Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.
Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.
Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $4.2M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+25
1W price-9.6%
Call premium36%
Put premium64%
Notional split
C 36% / P 64%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.06
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
29/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window
10 Aug
Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Puts · 91+ days · OTM
puts cluster with 4572 contracts traded, $973473 estimated gross traded notional, and 23% of visible notional.
$973473
Calls · 91+ days · OTM
calls cluster with 4998 contracts traded, $786380 estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional.
$786380
Puts · 91+ days · ITM
puts cluster with 502 contracts traded, $483440 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$483440
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM
puts cluster with 625 contracts traded, $373117 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$373117
Calls · 91+ days · ITM
calls cluster with 372 contracts traded, $215852 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$215852
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.
Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.
Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.
Activity Anomaly
High anomaly
Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.
Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank100th
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close14.15
1W-9.6%
RS-31.6
Fair value+4.4%
Options pressure25
Speculation41
Volatility91
Trend fit29
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg 7.6% · 1 read
100th
90d avg 7.6% · 1 read
100th
180d avg 7.6% · 1 read
100th
30d avg 1.11 · 1 read
100th
90d avg 1.11 · 1 read
100th
180d avg 1.11 · 1 read
100th
30d avg 0.43 · 1 read
100th
90d avg 0.43 · 1 read
100th
180d avg 0.43 · 1 read
100th
30d avg 0.04 · 1 read
100th
90d avg 0.04 · 1 read
100th
180d avg 0.04 · 1 read
100th
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 10:35
Bullish
Pressure 45
Move 7.6%
30 Jul 02:43
Bullish
Pressure 25
Move 8.8%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike9.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 24
Strike11.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 102 · OI 66
Strike12.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 10
Puts · V 107 · OI 360
Strike12.50
Calls · V 61 · OI 27
Puts · V 273 · OI 274
Strike13.00
Calls · V 131 · OI 55
Puts · V 697 · OI 1087
Strike13.50
Calls · V 446 · OI 212
Puts · V 194 · OI 1046
Strike14.00
Calls · V 856 · OI 860
Puts · V 167 · OI 1515
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts82
Avg IV1.30
Put-call0.50
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts80
Avg IV1.04
Put-call0.33
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV1.05
Put-call0.55
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts72
Avg IV1.03
Put-call1.42
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts70
Avg IV1.02
Put-call0.83
Skew
Call/put IV balance
31 Jul 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.23
Put IV0.91
Skew-0.32
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.01
Put IV1.03
Skew0.02
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.06
Put IV1.07
Skew0.01
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.08
Put IV1.03
Skew-0.05
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.06
Put IV1.04
Skew-0.02
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractUSAR261218C00025000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike25.00
Volume2470
OI5257
IV0.99
ContractUSAR261218P00012000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike12.00
Volume2142
OI3281
IV0.97
ContractUSAR261218P00011000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike11.00
Volume2105
OI222
IV0.98
ContractUSAR260731C00014000
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike14.00
Volume856
OI860
IV1.26
ContractUSAR260731P00013000
SidePut
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike13.00
Volume697
OI1087
IV1.21
ContractUSAR260807C00017000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike17.00
Volume669
OI416
IV1.09
ContractUSAR260731C00016000
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike16.00
Volume628
OI1977
IV1.48
ContractUSAR260731C00014500
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike14.50
Volume625
OI632
IV1.23
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
Market Watch
No recent market-watch posts yet.
Earnings
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.