Ticker Options Intelligence

VFS options intelligence

VinFast Auto Ltd. Ordinary Shares options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 30 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 04:41 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

VFS currently carries mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 25.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 25.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.87

Balanced tape

Trend fit 54

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -9.5%

RS -23.5

Expected move 25.0%
Put-call volume 0.87
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 1.02
Max pain 3.00
Underlying 2.85
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 74

Research Brief

VFS has a mixed chain read with 30/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 2.14–3.56; The largest call open-interest concentration is 4.00; the largest put concentration is 3.00. The most active strike by current volume is 1.00.

Priced range2.14–3.56
Call concentration4.00
Put concentration3.00
Max pain reference3.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 2.14 to 3.56. Max pain at 3.00 sits inside that range, 5.3% above spot.

Spot Max pain
2.142.85 ± 0.713.56
Confirmation level

A close beyond 3.56 or below 2.14 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 30/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 13/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure13 × 42%
+5.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation6 × 22%
+1.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement54 × 26%
+14.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score30.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 4.00; the largest put concentration is 3.00. The most active strike by current volume is 1.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
3
1.00-64.9%
0
0
2.00-29.8%
2
1392
3.005.3%
105
41
4.0040.4%
562
0
5.0075.4%
7
0
6.00110.5%
17
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.30× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.02 21 Aug 22d
0.69 18 Sep 50d
0.69 18 Dec 141d
0.91 15 Jan 169d
0.78 19 Mar 232d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

3
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
74 / 74
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

65/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $5950 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+13
1W price-9.5%
Call premium41%
Put premium59%
Notional split C 41% / P 59% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 54/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ITM
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 25 contracts traded, $3312 estimated gross traded notional, and 56% of visible notional.
$3312
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $968 estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$968
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $832 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$832
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 14 contracts traded, $598 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$598
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $170 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$170

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close2.85
1W-9.5%
RS-23.5
Fair value-44.7%
Options pressure13
Speculation6
Volatility96
Trend fit54

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 25.0% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 1.02 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.87 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:30 Volatility
Pressure 90
Move 21.4%
30 Jul 04:30 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 14.4%
31 Jul 03:41 Mixed
Pressure 13
Move 25.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike1.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike2.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike3.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 105
Puts · V 0 · OI 1392
Strike4.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 562
Puts · V 2 · OI 41
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 7
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike6.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 17
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV1.02
Put-call0.40
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.69
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.69
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts18
Avg IV0.91
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts12
Avg IV0.78
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.61
Put IV1.02
Skew0.41
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.68
Skew0.27
18 Dec 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.81
Put IV0.41
Skew-0.39
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.89
Put IV0.81
Skew-0.09
19 Mar 2027Call IV premium
Call IV1.01
Put IV0.33
Skew-0.68

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVFS261218P00004000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike4.00
Volume25
OI35
IV0.98
ContractVFS270115C00004000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike4.00
Volume13
OI3891
IV0.85
ContractVFS260918C00004000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike4.00
Volume7
OI694
IV0.41
ContractVFS260821C00001000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike1.00
Volume4
OI-
IV3.59
ContractVFS260918C00001000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike1.00
Volume3
OI-
IV0.01
ContractVFS260821P00004000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike4.00
Volume2
OI41
IV0.01
ContractVFS260918C00002000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.00
Volume2
OI27
IV0.69
ContractVFS270115C00007000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike7.00
Volume1
OI4398
IV0.89