- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
VFS
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
VinFast Auto Ltd. Ordinary Shares · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
2.85 USD
-9.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.5%, after a -5.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 35d.
Setup score
20
out of 100
Latest Close
2.85 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-9.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-32.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
19.2%
10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-9.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.9%.
Indicator stack
11/29
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.40%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
49/100 conviction; expected move 21.4%.
News sentiment
57/100
61 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
35d
Next report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.5%, after a -5.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1612-week average 0.46
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.9% over four weeks, -32.9% over 12 weeks, and -19.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.97Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-45.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.52Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 67%
Model confidence 64%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value41/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Quality40/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Momentum42/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Growth42/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- -51.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -87.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -18.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 80.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -1.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
VFS shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.08, expected move of 21.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction49/100
Expected move21.4%
Put/call volume0.08
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 61 relevant articles.
23 positive · 33 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings35dNext report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move21.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+33.9%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-9.5%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth36.0%
Trend36.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS31.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank17 / 26
Group average-2.1%
Trend breadth15.4%
Trend15.4%active weekly trend signals
MD34.6%positive activity pressure
RS11.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape22/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis28/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.40%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.40% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors37/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 60 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options35/100VFS shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.08, expected move of 21.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 21.4% Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 61 relevant articles.
How to Buy VinFast Auto Stock (VFS): Guide for Investors Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings35dNext report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.85 USD | -9.5% | 3.46 USD | 5.15 USD | -0.97 | -23.52 | 2.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.15 USD | 3.3% | 3.48 USD | 5.21 USD | -0.93 | -17.43 | 2.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.05 USD | -0.7% | 3.49 USD | 5.25 USD | -0.92 | -23.89 | 1.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.07 USD | 1.3% | 3.50 USD | 5.30 USD | -0.79 | -22.61 | 2.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.03 USD | -0.3% | 3.51 USD | 5.35 USD | -0.66 | -23.56 | 2.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.04 USD | -3.5% | 3.51 USD | 5.39 USD | -0.50 | -27.32 | 2.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.15 USD | -1.9% | 3.52 USD | 5.44 USD | -0.27 | -23.29 | 3.9M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.21 USD | -8.0% | 3.53 USD | 5.49 USD | -0.00 | -20.65 | 3.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.49 USD | -2.2% | 3.54 USD | 5.53 USD | 0.36 | -18.14 | 1.5M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.57 USD | -6.8% | 3.53 USD | 5.57 USD | 0.68 | -14.29 | 2.4M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.83 USD | -11.1% | 3.52 USD | 5.62 USD | 1.11 | -7.52 | 3.2M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.31 USD | 1.4% | 3.50 USD | 5.66 USD | 1.35 | 3.22 | 2.4M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 4.25 USD | -2.5% | 3.46 USD | 5.70 USD | 1.55 | 6.82 | 2.7M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 4.36 USD | 3.6% | 3.43 USD | 5.74 USD | 1.83 | 10.96 | 9.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.