Ticker Options Intelligence

ZETA options intelligence

Zeta Global Holdings Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 54 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 18:11 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ZETA currently carries volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 14.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 14.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.21

Call-side skew

Trend fit 21

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +12.9%

RS 4.9

Expected move 14.0%
Put-call volume 0.21
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 1.26
Max pain 20.00
Underlying 21.60
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 516

Research Brief

ZETA has a volatility chain read with 54/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 18.57–24.63; The largest call open-interest concentration is 22.00; the largest put concentration is 17.00. The most active strike by current volume is 22.00.

Priced range18.57–24.63
Call concentration22.00
Put concentration17.00
Max pain reference20.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 18.57 to 24.63. Max pain at 20.00 sits inside that range, 7.4% below spot.

Spot Max pain
18.5721.60 ± 3.0324.63
Confirmation level

A close beyond 24.63 or below 18.57 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 54/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 72/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure72 × 42%
+30.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement21 × 26%
+5.4

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score54.2Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 22.00; the largest put concentration is 17.00. The most active strike by current volume is 22.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
921
17.00-21.3%
30
222
17.50-19.0%
60
387
18.00-16.7%
78
829
19.00-12.0%
191
291
19.50-9.7%
86
781
20.00-7.4%
823
400
20.50-5.1%
225
355
21.00-2.8%
415
187
21.50-0.5%
646
67
22.001.9%
1961
68
22.504.2%
479
36
23.006.5%
860
82
23.508.8%
230
6
24.0011.1%
1750
0
25.0015.7%
1901
1
26.0020.4%
314
1
27.0025.0%
301
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 95% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$2.5MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak22.50+$640,290
Negative peak17.50-$185,104
Nearest balance20.86Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
16.50-23.6%
-$10,238
17.00-21.3%
-$27,876
17.50-19.0%
-$185,104
18.00-16.7%
-$26,934
18.50-14.4%
-$6,625
19.00-12.0%
-$33,224
19.50-9.7%
-$8,672
20.00-7.4%
+$522,509
20.50-5.1%
-$19,719
21.00-2.8%
+$7,481
21.50-0.5%
+$14,069
22.001.9%
+$135,064
22.504.2%
+$640,290
23.006.5%
+$75,649
23.508.8%
+$9,453
24.0011.1%
+$86,437
24.5013.4%
+$7,880
25.0015.7%
+$627,429
25.5018.1%
+$7,410
26.0020.4%
+$27,732
26.5022.7%
+$3,214
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.63× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.26 7 Aug 7d
1.07 14 Aug 14d
0.94 21 Aug 21d
0.90 28 Aug 28d
0.87 4 Sep 35d
0.83 11 Sep 42d
0.82 18 Sep 49d
0.80 18 Dec 140d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

18
18
19
19
20
20
21
21
22
22
23
23
24
24
25
25
26
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

1 matured · 0 directional

1 stored transitions are available, but none had a directional bullish or bearish label.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing0%
Average expiry move12.9%
30 Jul Volatility · 51 12.9% through expiry 12.4% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
516 / 516
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

94/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $2.2M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+72
1W price+12.9%
Call premium91%
Put premium9%
Notional split C 91% / P 9% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 21/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 0 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1867 contracts traded, $962,199 estimated gross traded notional, and 44% of visible notional.
$962,199
Calls · 0-7 days · ATM calls cluster with 1969 contracts traded, $267,735 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$267,735
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 291 contracts traded, $243,802 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$243,802
Calls · 0-7 days · OTM calls cluster with 3372 contracts traded, $219,958 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$219,958
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 1051 contracts traded, $94,765 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$94,765

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close21.60
1W+12.9%
RS4.9
Fair value+29.6%
Options pressure72
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend fit21

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 14.0% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.26 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.21 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:39 Volatility
Pressure 41
Move 15.3%
30 Jul 10:35 Volatility
Pressure 39
Move 18.1%
31 Jul 10:23 Volatility
Pressure 61
Move 12.4%
31 Jul 15:50 Volatility
Pressure 46
Move 11.5%
2 Aug 17:11 Volatility
Pressure 72
Move 14.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike12.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 2 · OI 25
Strike13.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike13.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike14.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 46
Strike14.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike15.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 7
Puts · V 0 · OI 160
Strike15.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 144
Strike16.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 49 · OI 179

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV1.26
Put-call0.22
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts72
Avg IV1.07
Put-call0.19
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts82
Avg IV0.94
Put-call0.32
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.90
Put-call0.67
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.87
Put-call1.53

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.68
Put IV1.33
Skew-0.35
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.12
Put IV1.08
Skew-0.04
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.94
Put IV0.95
Skew0.01
28 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.95
Put IV0.88
Skew-0.07
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.84
Put IV0.88
Skew0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractZETA260807C00022000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike22.00
Volume1873
OI1961
IV1.27
ContractZETA260807C00025000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume1544
OI1901
IV1.31
ContractZETA260807C00023000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike23.00
Volume523
OI860
IV1.28
ContractZETA280121C00025000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike25.00
Volume506
OI3858
IV0.78
ContractZETA280121C00030000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike30.00
Volume427
OI5386
IV0.80
ContractZETA260807P00017500
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume397
OI222
IV1.28
ContractZETA260821C00025000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume367
OI3834
IV0.94
ContractZETA260807C00022500
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike22.50
Volume349
OI479
IV1.30