Ticker Options Intelligence

BRK-B options intelligence

Berkshire Hathaway Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 39 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 15:32 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

BRK-B currently carries bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 1.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.07.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 1.8%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.07

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.67

Call-side skew

Trend fit 66

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +3.4%

RS -4.5

Expected move 1.8%
Put-call volume 0.67
Volume / OI 0.07
Reference IV 0.22
Max pain 495.00
Underlying 511.54
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 1201

Research Brief

BRK-B has a bullish chain read with 39/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 502.44–520.64; The largest call open-interest concentration is 530.00; the largest put concentration is 470.00. The most active strike by current volume is 520.00.

Priced range502.44–520.64
Call concentration530.00
Put concentration470.00
Max pain reference495.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 502.44 to 520.64. Max pain at 495.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
502.44511.54 ± 9.10520.64
Confirmation level

A close beyond 520.64 or below 502.44 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 39/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 25/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure25 × 42%
+10.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation42 × 22%
+9.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement66 × 26%
+17.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility23 × 10%
+2.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score38.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 530.00; the largest put concentration is 470.00. The most active strike by current volume is 520.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
547
290.00-43.3%
0
545
300.00-41.4%
0
116
425.00-16.9%
8
1798
470.00-8.1%
23
389
475.00-7.1%
9
367
480.00-6.2%
71
568
490.00-4.2%
120
209
495.00-3.2%
111
207
500.00-2.3%
550
36
502.50-1.8%
408
65
505.00-1.3%
592
88
510.00-0.3%
475
0
512.500.2%
124
22
515.000.7%
856
76
520.001.7%
673
1
525.002.6%
414
1
530.003.6%
859
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.09× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.22 7 Aug 7d
0.20 14 Aug 14d
0.19 21 Aug 21d
0.19 28 Aug 28d
0.20 4 Sep 35d
0.17 18 Sep 49d
0.17 16 Oct 77d
0.18 18 Dec 140d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

410
420
430
440
455
465
470
475
480
485
493
498
503
508
513
520
530
545
555
565
600
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1201 / 1201
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

87/100
Primary intent Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

Call concentration and the underlying trend align, but aggregate volume cannot establish whether calls were bought or sold.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $58.6M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+25
1W price+3.4%
Call premium83%
Put premium17%
Notional split C 83% / P 17% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.07 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 66/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 1600 contracts traded, $26.4M estimated gross traded notional, and 45% of visible notional.
$26.4M
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 3472 contracts traded, $10.6M estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$10.6M
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 821 contracts traded, $5.6M estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$5.6M
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 404 contracts traded, $3.4M estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$3.4M
Calls · 0-7 days · ATM calls cluster with 6817 contracts traded, $2.4M estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$2.4M

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close511.54
1W+3.4%
RS-4.5
Fair value+13.2%
Options pressure25
Speculation42
Volatility23
Trend fit66

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 1.8% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.22 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.67 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.07 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
28 Jul 14:34 Bullish
Pressure 37
Move 3.4%
28 Jul 14:59 Bullish
Pressure 39
Move 3.0%
28 Jul 15:22 Bullish
Pressure 40
Move 3.0%
28 Jul 15:50 Bullish
Pressure 40
Move 3.0%
28 Jul 16:10 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 3.0%
28 Jul 16:31 Bullish
Pressure 40
Move 2.9%
28 Jul 16:53 Bullish
Pressure 42
Move 3.0%
28 Jul 17:20 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 2.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike270.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 57
Strike280.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 4 · OI 96
Strike290.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 10 · OI 547
Strike300.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 20 · OI 545
Strike310.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 38 · OI 186
Strike320.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 197
Strike330.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 220
Strike340.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 4 · OI 62

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts103
Avg IV0.22
Put-call0.32
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts75
Avg IV0.20
Put-call1.10
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts120
Avg IV0.19
Put-call0.61
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts69
Avg IV0.19
Put-call0.80
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts19
Avg IV0.20
Put-call0.94

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.24
Skew0.04
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.22
Skew0.03
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.18
Put IV0.20
Skew0.02
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.18
Put IV0.20
Skew0.02
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.19
Skew0.00

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBRKB261016C00585000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike585.00
Volume-
OI74
IV0.18
ContractBRKB270319C00290000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike290.00
Volume-
OI69
IV0.00
ContractBRKB260904C00465000
SideCall
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Strike465.00
Volume-
OI54
IV0.34
ContractBRKB260814C00665000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike665.00
Volume-
OI49
IV0.73
ContractBRKB260814C00675000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike675.00
Volume-
OI41
IV0.76
ContractBRKB270319C00310000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike310.00
Volume-
OI32
IV0.00
ContractBRKB260814C00660000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike660.00
Volume-
OI28
IV0.71
ContractBRKB260821C00487500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike487.50
Volume-
OI24
IV0.27