Ticker Options Intelligence

MDB options intelligence

MongoDB options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 38 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 19:40 · partial chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

MDB currently carries bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.10.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 7.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.10

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.66

Call-side skew

Trend fit 40

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +13.2%

RS -4.8

Expected move 7.5%
Put-call volume 0.66
Volume / OI 0.10
Reference IV 0.70
Max pain 317.50
Underlying 337.48
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 2000

Research Brief

MDB has a bullish chain read with 38/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 312.21–362.75; The largest call open-interest concentration is 350.00; the largest put concentration is 300.00. The most active strike by current volume is 330.00.

Priced range312.21–362.75
Call concentration350.00
Put concentration300.00
Max pain reference317.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 312.21 to 362.75. Max pain at 317.50 sits inside that range, 5.9% below spot.

Spot Max pain
312.21337.48 ± 25.27362.75
Confirmation level

A close beyond 362.75 or below 312.21 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 38/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 25/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure25 × 42%
+10.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation42 × 22%
+9.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement40 × 26%
+10.4

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility79 × 10%
+7.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score38.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 350.00; the largest put concentration is 300.00. The most active strike by current volume is 330.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
291
200.00-40.7%
6
220
215.00-36.3%
2
301
280.00-17.0%
5
144
285.00-15.6%
32
328
290.00-14.1%
41
272
297.50-11.8%
25
430
300.00-11.1%
87
112
302.50-10.4%
161
169
310.00-8.1%
25
146
312.50-7.4%
85
30
317.50-5.9%
335
23
330.00-2.2%
197
8
350.003.7%
559
79
355.005.2%
87
169
400.0018.5%
493
12
420.0024.5%
204
0
450.0033.3%
176
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.96× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.70 7 Aug 7d
0.65 14 Aug 14d
0.67 21 Aug 21d
0.80 28 Aug 28d
0.85 4 Sep 35d
0.82 11 Sep 42d
0.81 18 Sep 49d
0.72 20 Nov 112d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

270
278
283
290
298
303
310
318
323
330
335
343
350
355
363
370
375
383
390
395
403
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Good

B79/100
Retained chain77%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Retained chain subset
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
2000 / 2594
  • 77% of provider contracts were retained for this snapshot.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

94/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $30.0M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 22-45 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+25
1W price+13.2%
Call premium65%
Put premium35%
Notional split C 65% / P 35% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.10 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 40/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 22-45 days · ITM
Puts · 22-45 days · ITM puts cluster with 881 contracts traded, $7.3M estimated gross traded notional, and 24% of visible notional.
$7.3M
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 1527 contracts traded, $4.8M estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$4.8M
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 1970 contracts traded, $4.7M estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$4.7M
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 594 contracts traded, $3.3M estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$3.3M
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 1839 contracts traded, $2.0M estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$2.0M

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close337.48
1W+13.2%
RS-4.8
Fair value+10.2%
Options pressure25
Speculation42
Volatility79
Trend fit40

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.5% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.70 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.66 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.10 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:15 Volatility
Pressure 67
Move 7.5%
30 Jul 10:11 Volatility
Pressure -21
Move 9.5%
31 Jul 10:05 Volatility
Pressure -51
Move 9.9%
31 Jul 15:31 Mixed
Pressure 16
Move 10.3%
31 Jul 16:38 Bullish
Pressure 18
Move 11.7%
31 Jul 17:30 Bullish
Pressure 19
Move 12.2%
1 Aug 18:40 Bullish
Pressure 25
Move 7.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike160.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike165.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 11
Strike170.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 12
Strike175.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 14
Strike180.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 14
Strike185.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 11 · OI 38
Strike190.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 21 · OI 31
Strike195.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 61

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts200
Avg IV0.70
Put-call0.71
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts206
Avg IV0.65
Put-call1.25
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts186
Avg IV0.67
Put-call0.18
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts124
Avg IV0.80
Put-call12.55
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts118
Avg IV0.85
Put-call8.30

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.67
Put IV0.72
Skew0.05
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.64
Put IV0.70
Skew0.06
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.70
Put IV0.71
Skew0.01
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.80
Put IV0.82
Skew0.03
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.84
Put IV0.87
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMDB260821C00360000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike360.00
Volume1501
OI263
IV0.65
ContractMDB260821C00320000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike320.00
Volume1500
OI478
IV0.66
ContractMDB260807C00330000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike330.00
Volume1040
OI197
IV0.67
ContractMDB260918C00350000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike350.00
Volume1008
OI309
IV0.81
ContractMDB260918P00270000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike270.00
Volume910
OI919
IV0.85
ContractMDB260918C00450000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike450.00
Volume805
OI722
IV0.82
ContractMDB260807P00317500
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike317.50
Volume415
OI30
IV0.72
ContractMDB260828P00230000
SidePut
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike230.00
Volume356
OI48
IV1.04