MDB NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MongoDB · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Latest close 337.5 USD
13.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.2%, after a -4.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 24d.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 337.5 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 13.2% latest completed week
4W Return -4.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.2%, after a -4.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5512-week average 0.32

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.55Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.9% over four weeks, 12.7% over 12 weeks, and 52.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W13.2%
4W-4.9%
12W12.7%
26W-9.1%
52W52.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-52.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-97.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality32/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth81/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
9.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
970.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
72.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-0.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
23.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-0.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
23.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
168.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-42.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MDB shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.77, expected move of 12.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction40/100
Expected move12.2%
Put/call volume0.77
Pressure19
Speculation43
Volatility96
Trend agreement52
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 19

1 acquisitions and 19 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

18 positive · 32 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings24dNext report is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.6%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-17.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+13.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026337.5 USD13.2%317.0 USD306.3 USD0.27-4.846.4MOff
24 Jul 2026298.2 USD-4.5%319.1 USD306.7 USD0.34-15.165.4MOff
17 Jul 2026312.3 USD-8.7%323.6 USD307.4 USD0.49-12.548.1MOff
10 Jul 2026342.1 USD-3.6%327.6 USD308.0 USD0.53-8.016.1MOff
3 Jul 2026354.9 USD13.0%330.1 USD308.4 USD0.57-2.456.9MOff
26 Jun 2026314.0 USD-5.6%332.0 USD308.6 USD0.61-12.569.3MOff
19 Jun 2026332.8 USD-2.9%332.6 USD309.2 USD0.72-11.316.9MOff
12 Jun 2026342.8 USD-2.3%332.2 USD309.6 USD0.67-5.957.2MOff
5 Jun 2026350.7 USD4.5%332.5 USD309.8 USD0.54-1.2414.8MOff
29 May 2026335.6 USD2.9%332.9 USD310.0 USD0.28-9.4926.6MOff
22 May 2026326.1 USD4.5%333.7 USD310.2 USD-0.18-9.189.2MOff
15 May 2026312.2 USD4.2%333.9 USD310.0 USD-0.55-11.718.2MOff
8 May 2026299.5 USD13.7%334.1 USD309.7 USD-0.86-15.348.2MOff
1 May 2026263.5 USD3.9%334.6 USD309.5 USD-1.11-21.266.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.