Polymarket · Energy

Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?

Energy expectations are falling at 1.4% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 1.4%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -1.6 pts. Data quality 57/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 1.4%
Signal Watch
Score 36
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 99.5K Liquidity 80.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality56.7
Momentum5.0
Urgency52.5
7d Move-1.7 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 1.4%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -1.6 pts. Data quality 57/100.

Same theme
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? 12.5% · Probability Fade · score 64 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? 20.5% · Probability Fade · score 58 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? 35.5% · Probability Fade · score 56 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? 38.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? 19.7% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M? 62.0% · Probability Surge · score 48